Sports Reference Blog

Win Probability Explained

Posted by Mike on October 7, 2013

You may have seen our in-game Tweets and the win probability graphs on our box score pages -- we now have a detailed explanation of the win probability methodology from Neil Paine if you're curious how it works.

One Response to “Win Probability Explained”

  1. dan Says:


    where can I view your predictions using the "win probability methodology" for the entire season? I would love to see these.

    Thank You