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August 15, 2011

Run Expectancy and Markov Chains: From chances is…, some R code that will help you create a run expectancy matrix using Markov chains.

Category: Baseball, Tags: , , , , , . Comments Off.

June 9, 2011

Expected Points Model: Keith Goldner of Drive-By Football explains his method of deriving expected points from the down, distance, and yard line.

Category: Football, Tags: , , , . Comments Off.

May 20, 2011

The Drive: John Elway’s magnum opus, as viewed through the lens of Drive-By Football’s NFL Markov model.

May 18, 2011

Super Bowl XXV: NYG vs BUF, Opening Drive of 2nd Half: Drive-By Football’s Keith Goldner applies his Markov model to Super Bowl XXV.

May 13, 2011

Expected Absorption Time: Keith Goldner of Drive-By Football presses onward with his Markov Chain model of football/

Category: Football, Tags: , , . Comments Off.

May 11, 2011

Absorption Probabilities on 1st & 4th Down: More from Drive-By Football on its NFL Markov model.

Category: Football, Tags: , , , . Comments Off.

May 9, 2011

Absorption Probabilities: Keith Goldner of Drive-By Football continues his NFL Markov series by calculating absorption probabilities for drive-ending game states.

Category: Football, Tags: , , , . Comments Off.

May 6, 2011

A Markov Model of Football III: Keith Goldner of Drive-By Football continues his series devoted to building an NFL Markov model.

Category: Football, Tags: , , , . Comments Off.

May 2, 2011

An Introduction to The Markov Model of Football: Drive-By Football’s Keith Goldner introduces his plan to create a Markov model for the NFL.

Category: Football, Tags: , , . Comments Off.

April 25, 2011

Stochastic Processes & Markov Chains

Keith Goldner of Drive-By Football lays out a Markov model for the NFL. Link

Who was the ‘true’ best team?

Dr. Jesse Frey has a method for determining the probability that a given team was the true best team in any season. Link