S-R: MLB | NBA · CBB | NFL · CFB | NHL | Oly | Stathead
Stathead
August 10, 2011
Baseball :

Is The Best 1-2-3 Halladay, Hamels and Lee?: At BtB, Satchel Price wants proof to back up the conventional wisdom that Philly’s trio are the best in baseball.

| Comments Off | Tags: · · · · · |
Baseball :

Rays v Tigers: Common Opponents: Tangotiger does a little strength-of-schedule tinkering with Tampa and Detroit, computing their W-L vs. common opponents in equal proportions.

| Comments Off | Tags: · · · · |
Baseball :

What would it take for Dunn to hit .200?: ESPN’s David Schoenfield calculated what Adam Dunn would have to hit over the rest of the year to reach a .200 batting average for the season.

| Comments Off | Tags: · · · |
August 9, 2011
Baseball :

Two Canadians Argue About Barry Zito (and Art vs. Science): At Grantland, baseball’s culture wars are played out in a debate between the romantic story of Zito’s decline in San Francisco (Chris Jones is convinced Scott Boras’ binder destroyed Zito spiritually) and the scientific facts of the case (as Jonah Keri points out, Zito’s peripherals made a decline utterly predictable).

| Comments Off | Tags: · · · · |
Basketball :

Top 100 NBA Players (Nos. 31-40): The latest NBA player rankings from SI’ Zach Lowe.

| Comments Off | Tags: · · |
Baseball :

Umpires’ racial bias disappears for other years of data — Part II: From Sabermetric Research’s Phil Birnbaum, more evidence that umpires aren’t as biased as Daniel Hammermesh’s study initially suggested (this time, the data set extends from 1980-2010).

| Comments Off | Tags: · · · · |
Hockey :

Request for Data (NHL Attendance): The Prince of Slides’ Brian Mills needs your help with historical NHL attendance data.

| Comments Off | Tags: · · · · |
Soccer :

Home Field Advantage and the Value of Away Draws in the Premier League: Chris Anderson of Soccer By The Numbers studies home-field advantage in the EPL, where capitalizing on home games and playing for a draw on the road seems to be the dominant strategy.

| Comments Off | Tags: · · |
Soccer :

Wasting possession – the statistical argument for using short goal kicks more: StatDNA’s Jaeson Rosenfeld and Can Geng researched how often teams retained possession after sending a goal kick long (instead of initiating the possession with short passes along the ground), concluding that although the odds of scoring after recovering a long goal kick are slightly higher than the average midfield touch, this doesn’t offset that fact that teams are far more likely to keep possession across midfield if they make short passes rather than booting the goal kick to midfield.

| Comments Off | Tags: · · |
Hockey :

Flyers Shot Locations: Individual Breakdowns: JP Nikota of Broad Street Hockey charted the road shot locations for each member of the 2011 Flyers. (Why road locations? Because home-rink scorer bias can taint home shot-location data.)

| Comments Off | Tags: · · · |
Basketball :

The Wages-of-Wins-iest Tandems: Andres Alvarez of The Wages of Wins looks at the top tandems at various combinations of positions, according to Wins Produced.

| Comments Off | Tags: · · · · |
Baseball :

Brandon McCarthy’s Breakout Season: Dave Allen of The Baseball Analysts compares McCarthy’s 2009 and 2011 PITCHf/x charts to determine how he has taken such a huge leap forward as a pitcher.

| Comments Off | Tags: · · · |
Baseball :

Cheap Wins vs. Tough Losses: BtB’s Adam Darowski flips around his post on Tough Losses from last week and looks at pitchers with the most “Cheap Wins”.

| Comments Off | Tags: · · · · · |
Baseball :

When is playing for your own stats acceptable?: BP’s Wayback Machine travels back to 2006, when Joe Sheehan asked whether records and accomplishments are tainted if achieved when the player puts them ahead of the team’s goals.

| Comments Off | Tags: · · · |
Baseball :

Phillies among NL’s greatest ever?: With the Phillies on pace for 105 wins, ESPN’s David Schoenfield compares them to other NL teams that reached the 105-win mark in the past.

| Comments Off | Tags: · · · · |
Baseball :

Sabathia’s Boston Problem: Baseball Analytics’ David Pinto searches the pitch data for reasons why CC Sabathia has been so much worse vs. Boston than any other team this season.

| Comments Off | Tags: · · · · |
Baseball :

Swing Percentage and Jayson Werth: At Roto Hardball, Eno Sarris looks at the relationship between strikeouts and swing %, as it relates to Jayson Werth.

| Comments Off | Tags: · · · · · |
Baseball :

For Yankees’ Teixeira, Would-Be Hits Are Swallowed by a Shift: Sam Borden of the NY Times tries to determine how many of Mark Teixeira’s balls in play would be hits if not for defensive shifts.

| Comments Off | Tags: · · · · |
August 8, 2011
Baseball :

Jonah Keri on Zack Greinke, Ryan Vogelsong, and pitching statistics: Jonah Keri brings DIPS theory and FIP to Grantland’s audience.

| Comments Off | Tags: · · · |
Football :

Race & NFL QB Bias: Does race play a role in NFL front-office decision-making about quarterbacks? The Wages of Wins seems to think so. But Brian Goff of The Sports Economist detects a different source of bias — not specifically against African-American QBs, but against mobile quarterbacks in general.

| Comments Off | Tags: · · · · · |
Football :

College Football Upsets – Small Colleges (FCS) Defeating Ranked Opponents: Andrew McKillop of SportsDelve.com found every known instance of a small (FCS) college beating an FBS team in football.

| Comments Off | Tags: · · · |
Baseball :

Sabermetrics as a religion?: At Stathead, I will occasionally use the tag “The Gospel of Sabermetrics” to jokingly refer to articles that try to bring stats to a wider audience. Apparently, though, that phrase can be applied literally to a recent NYT piece by Frank Bruni.

| Comments Off | Tags: · · · |
Hockey :

Language bias in Hall of Fame Inductions?: At this Prince of Slides post, you can check out Brian Mills’ Joint Statistical Meetings presentation poster about whether fewer Francophone players were inducted to the Hockey Hall of Fame than would be predicted according to a Random Forests-based HoF probability method.

| Comments Off | Tags: · · · · |
Baseball :

The Bizarro Rickey Henderson: At The Big Lead, Jason Lisk searches for the bizarro version of Henderson’s speedy, record-setting season of 1982.

| Comments Off | Tags: · · |
Hockey :

Top 20 Defensive Zone Starters: The Puck Stops Here looked at players whose defensive-zone starts outnumbered their offensive-zone starts by the most in 2011. These are defensive specialists whose raw Corsis will be negatively biased because they’re often put in situations where they face a lot of shots against.

| Comments Off | Tags: · · · · |
Soccer :

Football Factories – Where does talent come from?: On Football’s Sarah Rudd looks at which youth teams produce the most talent capable of playing in the Premier League.

| 1 Comment & Related Posts | Tags: · · · · |
Football :

Football Analytics Primer (Part 1): The NFL Minds Blog writes about the history and current philosophies of modern NFL “sabermetrics”.

| Comments Off | Tags: · · · · · |
Football :

Total Quarterback Rating (QBR) Reax: Tons of reactions this weekend in the wake of ESPN’s Friday launch of a new QB rating: TBL’s Jason Lisk posted an initial take, then compared QBR to passer rating … At PFR, Chase Stuart gave his thoughts, while Neil Paine looked at how QBR correlates with other QB metrics … Outside the Hashes also ran correlations with Brian Burke’s stats, and last but not least, Code & Football posted an overview of the critiques of QBR.

UPDATE: Drive-By Football also weighs in.

| Comments Off | Tags: · · · · · · · |
Basketball :

Top 100 NBA Players (Nos. 41-50): More NBA player rankings from Zach Lowe and SI.

| Comments Off | Tags: · · |
Basketball :

Player Skill Rankings: At NBA Playbook, Sebastian Pruiti is using scouting, video analysis, and Synergy data to rank the NBA’s best at various skills. So far, he’s tackled pick & roll ballhandlers and post scorers.

| Comments Off | Tags: · · · · · |
Baseball :

Measuring the Growth of Sabermetrics: At BtB, Josh Weinstock searches Google Trends for data on the frequency of “sabermetrics” as a search term. How much has it increased in recent years?

| Comments Off | Tags: · · · |
Baseball :

Fluke Watch – Ian Kennedy: THT’s Josh Smolow looks at how much of Kennedy’s breakout season is sustainable going forward.

| Comments Off | Tags: · · · · · |
Baseball :

Zobrist vs Fielder – A Position Adjustment Primer: Fangraphs’ Dave Cameron explains the position adjustment in Wins Above Replacement, and why Ben Zobrist ranks ahead of Prince Fielder in fWAR.

| Comments Off | Tags: · · · · |
Baseball :

10 things I didn’t know about winning 200 games: Also from Chris Jaffe and THT, 10 factoids you may not have known about the 200-win club.

| Comments Off | Tags: · · · |
Baseball :

A tale of two seasons for Dan Uggla: ESPN’s Mark Simon & Katie Sharp have more on Uggla’s sudden transformation from hitting .139 on July 4 to .408 ever since.

| Comments Off | Tags: · · · · · · |
Baseball :

Carlos Zambrano and the all-time homer list for pitchers: THT’s Chris Jaffe looks at Zambrano’s increasingly impressive place in baseball history as a HR-hitting pitcher.

| Comments Off | Tags: · · · · |
General :

The Theory That Would Not Die: Bayes’ Theorem in the NY Times! John Allen Paulos’ review of Sharon Bertsch McGrayne’s The Theory That Would Not Die.

| Comments Off | Tags: · · · |
August 5, 2011
Football :

Even More on Total QB Rating: Want more info on ESPN’s new QB rating system? Read this Peter Keating piece on why it’s necessary, this Chris Sprow article on scrambling leaders, check out the 2010 overall leaders here, and 2008-10 3-year leaders here.

| Comments Off | Tags: · · · · · |
Basketball :

Top 100 NBA Players, Pt. V (Nos. 51-60): SI’s Zach Lowe is halfway through his ranking of the NBA’s top players at this very moment.

| Comments Off | Tags: · · |
Baseball :

Matt Stairs’ career highlights: At THT, Chris Jaffe highlights the unique career of Matt Stairs, who quite possibly has the longest row of uniform numbers of any player at Baseball-Reference.

| Comments Off | Tags: · · · · |
Basketball :

Half-a-season of NBA? Great idea!: Although admittedly not an NBA fan, Tangotiger has a point when it comes to randomness and the NBA… Pro basketball is so inherently deterministic that 32 NBA games is the equivalent of 162 MLB games in terms of W-L matching true talent levels, with the leftover 50 games amounting to little more than overkill. So an abbreviated lockout season would actually bring the NBA more in line with baseball and hockey when it comes to balancing drama with determinism in the standings.

| Comments Off | Tags: · · · · · · |
Soccer :

Shots and Goals In the Big 4: Offensive Performance Across Leagues in 2010/11: Soccer By The Numbers’ Chris Anderson put all 78 teams from Europe’s Big Four leagues in the same graph, and charted various offensive production metrics.

| Comments Off | Tags: · · · · · · |
Hockey :

How Good is the KHL?: Bruce Peter of Puck Worlds updated Gabe Desjardins’ work on statistical equivalencies between the NHL and Russia’s KHL.

| Comments Off | Tags: · · · · · |
Football :

LT, TD big winners on ‘rusher rating’ list: At CHFF, Ken Crippen of the PFRA presents an era-normalized ‘rusher rating’ (based on the framework of the NFL’s passer rating formula) and ranks all-time RB performances.

| Comments Off | Tags: · · · · · · |
Basketball :

A Southern League ($): At BP, Dan Feldman looks at the regions that NBA players hail from. It turns out the South has historically produced the most players dating back to the early 1960s, although the Midwest has come on strong in the 2000s.

| Comments Off | Tags: · · · · |
Basketball :

Top 100 NBA Players, Pt. IV (Nos. 61-70): Zach Lowe of SI’s Point Forward has the latest installment of his NBA player rankings.

| Comments Off | Tags: · · |
Baseball :

Hitter Volatility Leaders, Fantasy Applications: At BtB, Bill Petti posted a leaderboard using his volatility metric; meanwhile, Eno Sarris talked about how to use volatility for fantasy purposes at FanDuel.

| Comments Off | Tags: · · · · · · |
Baseball :

Yankees, Red Sox key defenders: ESPN’s Mark Simon & Katie Sharp run down the BIS fielding numbers on the key defensive matchups of this weekend’s Red Sox-Yankees duel.

| Comments Off | Tags: · · · · |
Baseball :

Vortices of Suck, Part II ($): More from BP’s Jay Jaffe on MLB’s worst, most detrimental players (or groups of players on the same team) at each position.

| Comments Off | Tags: · · |
Baseball :

Extra plays made – Should we change our point of view?: All of today’s advanced fielding metrics use a technique called indirect standardization as the core of their methodology, but THT’s Max Marchi wonders if they should move toward direct standardization instead.

| Comments Off | Tags: · · · · · |
Baseball :

Moping About Moneyball: At BP, David Brown laments how much more the Moneyball movie would resonate if Oakland’s current on-field product wasn’t so terrible.

| Comments Off | Tags: · · · |
Baseball :

Defensive Independent Hitting, Or ShH: Fangraphs’ Bradley Woodrum looks at defense-independent hitting stats, and develops ShH (“should hit”), a measure of what a player would hit if at their career level of BABIP luck.

| Comments Off | Tags: · · · · · |
Baseball :

Predictable Burnett: Baseball Analytics’ David Pinto examines A.J. Burnett’s fastball data, demonstrating that hitters have learned a great deal about how to hit it over the course of the season.

| Comments Off | Tags: · · · · |
Football :

More on ESPN’s Total Quarterback Rating: Dean Oliver explains more of the nuts and bolts of the new ESPN QB rating system; also, for an assessment of the methodology, read this Outside the Hashes post. UPDATE: And check out the discussion thread at Football Outsiders.

| Comments Off | Tags: · · · · · · |
August 4, 2011
Baseball :

Paging Pujols ($): BP’s Colin Wyers asks how much Pujols’ disappointing season has cost the Cardinals in terms of playoff probability.

| Comments Off | Tags: · · · · |
Football :

New ESPN quarterback rating system factors in larger set of variables: ESPN is rolling out a new QB rating tomorrow night, and the early signs are encouraging — it’s developed by some top analytic minds (Dean Oliver, Jeff Bennett, Ben Alamar, etc.), and it’s going to take into account down-and-distance, plus the play’s impact on win probability (a la Leverage Index).

| Comments Off | Tags: · · · · |
General :

Are We Actually Getting Better at Chess?: Sometimes you will hear complaints that top chess players’ Elo Ratings have been artificially inflated over time, but a new study suggests that the quality of top players’ moves are actually better now than they were 40 years ago.

| Comments Off | Tags: · · · · · |
General :

Plenty of Good Seats Still Available: At Slate, Neil deMause writes about the collapse of the sports ticket bubble, and its implications for fans.

| Comments Off | Tags: · · · · |
General :

Winning and Losing Seasons: SportsDelve’s Andrew McKillop tallied up the number of winning and losing seasons for each franchise in the NBA, NFL, and MLB.

| Comments Off | Tags: · · · · |
Basketball :

Attendance is Everything: Looking at BCS conference attendance in basketball & football, and adjusting for stadium capacities, BP’s Corey Schmidt determines which sport is more popular at which school.

| Comments Off | Tags: · · · · · |
Basketball :

The Top 25 peak players (*according to wins produced): The Wages of Wins’ James Brocato ranked players’ peaks based on their 6 best Wins Produced seasons.

| Comments Off | Tags: · · · · |
Basketball :

Shooting Fouls Committed in the NBA in 2010-11: As a companion to yesterday’s post about 2011 fouls drawn, here’s Weak Side Awareness’ data on fouls committed in 2011.

| Comments Off | Tags: · · |
Baseball :

Counsell for the Defense: BP’s Mike Fast presents an incredibly detailed chronicle of Craig Counsell’s 0-for-45 streak.

| Comments Off | Tags: · · · · · |
Baseball :

Who Gets the Scoop? Number of Correct, First Reported Deals in July: BtB’s Dave Gershman compiled his “Scoop Standings’ for the trade deadline — which reporters were on top of deals first?

| Comments Off | Tags: · · · · |
Baseball :

Why When You Go Matters: BP’s Jeremy Greenhouse applies WPA concepts to stolen-base attempts, determining which players added the most SB value based on the situations in which they stole.

| Comments Off | Tags: · · · · · |
Baseball :

Bill Bergen’s Awesome Record of Futility: With two Bill Bergen marks being threatened by current players, the NY Times’ Lynn Zinser takes a closer look at the early-20th-century catcher’s epic offensive futility.

| Comments Off | Tags: · · · · |
Baseball :

The Asian Equation – Finding Relief from NPB: In his latest piece on Japanese baseball, BP’s Michael Street writes about why relievers have been the best bargains among NPB imports.

| Comments Off | Tags: · · · · |
Baseball :

Joel Hanrahan – Different, but the same?: THT’s Lucas Apostoleris dives into the PITCHf/x data to determine what exactly it is that Hanrahan has done differently during his wildly successful 2011 season.

| Comments Off | Tags: · · · · |
Baseball :

Beautiful Theories and Ugly Facts: Here’s a re-run of a 2006 Dan Fox BP article about the factors that drive league-wide HBP rates.

| Comments Off | Tags: · · · · |
Baseball :

Oakland’s potential triumvirate: THT’s Kevin Lai talks about Oakland’s potential-laden power trio of Brandon Allen, Chris Carter, and Michael Taylor.

| Comments Off | Tags: · · · · · · |
Baseball :

The Uggla Truth: Baseball Analytics’ David Pinto writes about the adjustments Dan Uggla made to snap out of his brutal slump — and into a 25-game hitting streak.

| Comments Off | Tags: · · · · |
Baseball :

Wanna write for the Hardball Times Annual?: Hey, Statheads — let The Hardball Times know if you have any research you’d like to publish, and you might make it into their annual book.

| Comments Off | Tags: · · · |
Baseball :

Ackley Owns the Strike Zone: Baseball Analytics’ David Golebiewski analyzes the superb plate discipline shown by Dustin Ackley since his MLB call-up a month and a half ago.

| Comments Off | Tags: · · · · |
August 3, 2011
Hockey :

Top 20 Offensive Zone Starters: From The Puck Stops Here, a list of players whose offensive zone starts outnumbered their defensive zone starts by the most.

| Comments Off | Tags: · · |
Football :

Formation Analysis – Number of RBs, Part I: FO’s Danny Tuccitto has game-charted stats on how often teams lined up with a certain number of RBs on the field (and how effective they were in those formations).

| Comments Off | Tags: · · · |
Basketball :

Top 100 NBA Players, Pt. III (Nos. 71-80): SI’s Zach Lowe continues his ranking of the league’s top 100 players.

| Comments Off | Tags: · · |
Baseball :

DIPS – nonpitchers as pitchers: Tangotiger offers his findings regarding the BABIPs of non-pitchers when called into action.

| Comments Off | Tags: · · · |
Baseball :

Visualizing Edwin Jackson’s Trade History: Fangraphs’ Steve Slowinski posts an interesting visualization that combines Jackson’s transactions and production over time.

| Comments Off | Tags: · · · |
Football :

2011 NFL win totals released by the Hilton ($): For those looking to compare projection systems to the Vegas numbers, ESPN’s Chad Millman posted the Hilton’s team-by-team season win over-unders.

| Comments Off | Tags: · · · · |
Soccer :

Premier League Defensive Bulwarks in 2010/11: Some graphs from Soccer By The Numbers’ Chris Anderson, illustrating which EPL teams did the best job of limiting opposing shots and scoring chances in 2011.

| Comments Off | Tags: · · |
Football :

Who will next year’s Hall of Famers be?: Writing for CHFF, Scott Kacsmar handicaps next year’s Pro Football Hall of Fame class.

| Comments Off | Tags: · · · · |
Football :

Randy Moss, Game Changer Extraordinaire and Sure Hall of Famer: Jason Lisk of The Big Lead writes about Randy Moss’ huge impact on his teams’ offensive output.

| Comments Off | Tags: · · · |
Basketball :

High School Recruiting Ranking vs. NBA Success: BBR’s Neil Paine looks at how often players of a certain high school recruiting ranking end up with a certain quality of NBA career.

| Comments Off | Tags: · · · · |
Basketball :

Shooting & Loose Fouls Drawn in the NBA in 2010-11: More foul data, courtesy of Weak Side Awareness.

| 1 Comment & Related Posts | Tags: · · |
Baseball :

Ted Williams and perception: THT’s Josh Weinstock compares Ted Williams’ famous “heat map” of his own batting averages in each part of the zone to actual PITCHf/x data for lefties in 2011.

| Comments Off | Tags: · · · · |
Baseball :

Return on Over-Slot Signings: From Fangraphs’ Reed MacPhail, a couple of posts about the value returned by players who were signed for more than MLB’s slot recommendations.

| Comments Off | Tags: · · |
Baseball :

Vortices of Suck, Part I ($): BP’s Jay Jaffe lists the worst, most team-destroying players at each position.

| Comments Off | Tags: · · |
Baseball :

Justin Verlander’s strong starts: THT’s Chad Evely writes about where Verlander’s multiple deep no-hit/perfect game bids this year ranks among the all-time great “strong start” seasons.

| Comments Off | Tags: · · · · · |
Baseball :

The Trade Deadline Money Trail: At BP, Jeff Euston looks into how much payroll each team added or subtracted at the trade deadline.

| Comments Off | Tags: · · · · |
Baseball :

Tough Losses: BtB’s Adam Darowski posted a graphic illustrating what percentage of the losingest pitchers’ losses were “tough losses” (7+ IP, ER<=3).

| 1 Comment & Related Posts | Tags: · · · · |
Baseball :

July Hitting Picked Up A Bit In The AL, Still Sluggish In the NL: Cybermetrics’ Cyril Morong checks in on the 2011 season’s offensive environment through July.

| Comments Off | Tags: · · · |
Baseball :

An Unexpected Discovery About Position Players Pitching: Baseball Nation’s Jeff Sullivan wrote a humorous piece about position players’ pitching success in 2010 & 2011, but in this follow-up, he inadvertently found real evidence for DIPS Theory — the collective BABIP of position players who had to pitch (since 1970) was .296… basically the league average.

| 1 Comment & Related Posts | Tags: · · · |
Baseball :

Why does PECOTA love Felix and hate Verlander?: At The Book, Tango opens up PECOTA’s hood and wonders why the projection system considers Felix Hernandez more valuable than Justin Verlander going forward.

| Comments Off | Tags: · · · · · |
Baseball :

Billy Beane, Moneyball sage and A’s GM, hurt by change in thinking: SI’s Tom Verducci writes about how the A’s recent struggles reflect small market teams’ increasing difficulty finding undervalued talent in the decade since Moneyball came out.

| Comments Off | Tags: · · · · |
August 2, 2011
Basketball :

Top 100 NBA Players, Pt. II (Nos. 81-90): Zach Lowe continues his ranking of the NBA’s top 100 players at SI’s Point Forward blog.

| Comments Off | Tags: · · |
Baseball :

Billy Butler Loves Hitting the Ball to Center Field: Jeff Zimmerman of Royals Review compares Billy Butler’s directional hitting tendencies to those of the average MLB hitter.

| Comments Off | Tags: · · |
Football :

Who won the QB derby? ($): ESPN’s KC Joyner uses his quarterback metrics to decide which teams made themselves better (or worse) in last week’s mad QB scramble.

| Comments Off | Tags: · · · · · · · · |
Baseball :

Do Umpires Give Preferential Treatment To Some Players?: At The Book Blog, Tango lists the conclusions of a SABR presentation on preferential officiating.

| Comments Off | Tags: · · · · |
Baseball :

Robinson Cano and Home Run Derby curse ($): ESPN’s Peter Keating explains why Regression to the Mean — and not a supposed “curse” — causes HR Derby participants to hit for less power after the All-Star break.

| Comments Off | Tags: · · · |
Baseball :

The “Joey Bats Club” – How Unique Is Jose Bautista?: There’s A Stat For That looks at the “Joey Bats Club” — players who made massive, unprecedented leaps in isolated power from one season to the next.

| Comments Off | Tags: · · · · · |
Page 4 of 25« First...23456...1020...Last »