Sports Reference Blog
2015-16 NBA Playoff and MVP Probabilities
Posted by Jonah Gardner on November 18, 2015
The NBA season is in full swing so our playoff and MVP probabilities pages are live. The playoff probabilities project the odds a team has of making the playoffs; while the MVP projections show the likelihood a given player has of winning MVP if voting happened today. On the playoff side, it looks like the Rockets and Pelicans are in trouble, while the Suns and Celtics are early season surprises. Sixers and Lakers fans can also track their odds of winning the lottery. Here's more info on how the projections are made and where we get the projected draft order from.
Oh, and as far as MVP goes, Stephen Curry is really really good
Rk | Player | Tm | W | L | W/L% | MP | eFG% | ORB | DRB | TRB | AST | STL | BLK | TOV | PTS | Prob% | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Stephen Curry | GSW | 12 | 0 | 1.000 | 35.5 | .641 | 0.5 | 4.3 | 4.8 | 5.9 | 2.4 | 0.3 | 3.4 | 33.7 | 96.1% | |
2 | Russell Westbrook | OKC | 6 | 5 | .545 | 34.9 | .509 | 2.2 | 5.5 | 7.7 | 10.6 | 2.3 | 0.3 | 5.2 | 26.7 | 0.9% | |
3 | Draymond Green | GSW | 12 | 0 | 1.000 | 34.0 | .521 | 1.5 | 6.5 | 8.0 | 6.9 | 1.3 | 1.4 | 2.5 | 12.0 | 0.8% | |
4 | LeBron James | CLE | 8 | 3 | .727 | 36.6 | .539 | 1.1 | 5.6 | 6.7 | 6.1 | 1.8 | 0.6 | 3.4 | 27.3 | 0.7% | |
5 | Blake Griffin | LAC | 6 | 4 | .600 | 34.1 | .558 | 2.3 | 6.7 | 9.0 | 4.3 | 0.8 | 0.5 | 1.7 | 26.6 | 0.5% | |
6 | Kawhi Leonard | SAS | 8 | 2 | .800 | 33.1 | .569 | 1.0 | 6.7 | 7.7 | 1.6 | 1.9 | 1.3 | 1.4 | 21.6 | 0.4% | |
7 | Kevin Durant | OKC | 6 | 5 | .545 | 34.8 | .572 | 0.3 | 7.0 | 7.3 | 3.0 | 0.8 | 1.3 | 2.3 | 28.1 | 0.3% | |
8 | Andre Drummond | DET | 6 | 5 | .545 | 37.4 | .530 | 6.4 | 12.5 | 18.9 | 1.0 | 1.8 | 1.4 | 2.6 | 19.1 | 0.1% | |
9 | Eric Bledsoe | PHO | 6 | 4 | .600 | 33.4 | .545 | 0.5 | 3.6 | 4.1 | 5.9 | 2.1 | 0.5 | 3.6 | 23.0 | 0.1% | |
10 | Kyle Lowry | TOR | 7 | 5 | .583 | 35.0 | .503 | 0.8 | 4.0 | 4.8 | 6.3 | 2.6 | 0.7 | 3.2 | 20.3 | 0.1% |
This MVP race is between two guys, Steph Curry and Russell Wesrbrook