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August 26, 2011

In A.L. M.V.P. Voting, Verlander Is Likely to Be Bypassed: At the NY Times, Neil Paine argues that Justin Verlander should — but probably won’t — be near the top of the A.L. MVP ballot.

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August 9, 2011

For Yankees’ Teixeira, Would-Be Hits Are Swallowed by a Shift: Sam Borden of the NY Times tries to determine how many of Mark Teixeira’s balls in play would be hits if not for defensive shifts.

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August 8, 2011

Sabermetrics as a religion?: At Stathead, I will occasionally use the tag “The Gospel of Sabermetrics” to jokingly refer to articles that try to bring stats to a wider audience. Apparently, though, that phrase can be applied literally to a recent NYT piece by Frank Bruni.

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The Theory That Would Not Die: Bayes’ Theorem in the NY Times! John Allen Paulos’ review of Sharon Bertsch McGrayne’s The Theory That Would Not Die.

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August 4, 2011

Bill Bergen’s Awesome Record of Futility: With two Bill Bergen marks being threatened by current players, the NY Times’ Lynn Zinser takes a closer look at the early-20th-century catcher’s epic offensive futility.

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July 28, 2011

Adam Dunn’s Historically Bad Season: At the NY Times, B-R’s Neil Paine writes about just how historically bad Adam Dunn’s 2011 has been.

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July 22, 2011

Remember the Rangers? They’re Winning Again: Writing for the NY Times, B-R’s Neil Paine discusses the Texas Rangers’ great, relatively under-the-radar all-around performance this season (including their underrated defense).

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July 15, 2011

Is the Six-Man Rotation Here to Stay?: At the NY Times, Ben Strauss examines the pro and cons of the six-man rotation.

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Sizing Up Trade Needs in the A.L. East: Writing for the NY Times, B-R’s Sean Forman breaks down the strengths/weaknesses of the Red Sox, Yankees, & Rays, and looks for areas where each could upgrade at the trade deadline.

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July 12, 2011

With Ichiro Suzuki, There’s Less Than Meets the Eye: Great piece from the NY Times’ Benjamin Hoffman on how Ichiro Suzuki’s immense talents don’t always translate to on-field production, sometimes by his own choice.

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July 7, 2011

Dissecting Jair Jurrjens’ Surprising Success: Jonah Keri of Fangraphs and Neil Paine of the NY Times analyze why Jurrjens has frequently outperformed his DIPS numbers.

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July 6, 2011

N.B.A. Disputes Forbes Analysis Suggesting League is Profitable: No surprise — the NBA is denying many of the claims made in yesterday’s Nate Silver post about the league’s financial situation.

July 5, 2011

Calling Foul on N.B.A.’s Claims of Financial Distress : Nate Silver of the NY Times analyzes the discrepancy between Forbes’ estimate of the NBA’s financial health and the money-hemorrhaging image the owners are trying to paint in the media.

June 29, 2011

Same Numbers, Two Views of Fernandez: Rob Mahoney of the NY Times writes about the Mavs’ recent trade for Rudy Fernandez… The public set of plus/minus data at BasketballValue says Rudy was an average player at best over the past 2 seasons, but Dallas’ in-house +/- is impressed by the Spaniard. (For what it’s worth, the predictive Regularized Plus-Minus sees Rudy as a net negative.)

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June 24, 2011

Doomed in April, Dominant in June: At the NY Times, Neil Paine looks at how the Red Sox have turned their season around, and puts their dominating June in historical context.

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June 20, 2011

Jack McKeon is Really Old: How Old Is Jack McKeon? Variations on a theme from the NY Times, the Hardball Times, and FanGraphs. UPDATE: Oh, and Baseball Nation.

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June 10, 2011

After Jeter Reaches 3,000 Hits, Who’s Likely Next?: At the NY Times, Neil Paine uses Bill James’ Favorite Toy to estimate the probabilities of active players reaching 3,000 hits.

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June 2, 2011

Keeping Score: They Won a Lot of Games, and Soon a Title: Writing for the NY Times, Neil Paine highlights the unprecedented group of superstars currently seeking their first ring.

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May 31, 2011

Which Team Has the Right Stuff to Win the Cup?: Chin and Granat also apply their championship characteristics research to the Stanley Cup Final.

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Keeping Score: Championship Characteristics in the N.B.A. Finals: Writing for the NY Times, Carlton J. Chin and Jay P. Granat discuss characteristics that champions share.

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May 26, 2011

Keeping Score: Among Phillies’ Four Aces, a Surprising Big Two: Neil Paine at the NY Times: Roy Halladay is no surprise atop the Phils’ staff, but their 2nd most valuable pitcher is Hamels, not Lee.

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The Mets’ Bobblehead Curse Lives: Met players immortalized by the dreaded Gold’s Horseradish bobblehead usually end up injured or playing badly, writes Ken Belson of the NY Times’ Bats blog.

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May 24, 2011

Keeping Score: Bautista’s Stats Approach Those of the Greats: At the NY Times, Dan Rosenheck compares Jose Bautista’s start to 2011 ranks among historical hot streaks.

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May 20, 2011

Keeping Score: Posada Put Off Decline for Years: At the NY Times, Neil Paine writes about how remarkable it is for Jorge Posada to have lasted this long before declining.

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May 17, 2011

Impact of Bulls’ Reserves Transcends Scoring: Rob Mahoney of the NY Times explains why Chicago’s reserves should be measured by efficiency differential, not bench points.

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May 13, 2011

Keeping Score: It’s the Year of the Pitcher, Part II: At the NY Times, Sean Forman writes about the reasons behind the MLB-wide decline in offense.

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May 11, 2011

Great Sports Nicknames Are Disappearing: John Branch of the NY Times writes about the death of great nicknames.

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May 6, 2011

In the Majors, Young Players Are Still Teething at the Plate: This year’s crop of debuts are historically bad at the plate, writes Sean Forman at the NY Times.

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April 14, 2011

Jeter May Benefit From Rest

Writing for the NY Times, Sean Forman suggests that the Yankees should keep Jeter fresh. Link

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