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August 26, 2011

In A.L. M.V.P. Voting, Verlander Is Likely to Be Bypassed: At the NY Times, Neil Paine argues that Justin Verlander should — but probably won’t — be near the top of the A.L. MVP ballot.

August 9, 2011

For Yankees’ Teixeira, Would-Be Hits Are Swallowed by a Shift: Sam Borden of the NY Times tries to determine how many of Mark Teixeira’s balls in play would be hits if not for defensive shifts.

August 8, 2011

Sabermetrics as a religion?: At Stathead, I will occasionally use the tag “The Gospel of Sabermetrics” to jokingly refer to articles that try to bring stats to a wider audience. Apparently, though, that phrase can be applied literally to a recent NYT piece by Frank Bruni.

The Theory That Would Not Die: Bayes’ Theorem in the NY Times! John Allen Paulos’ review of Sharon Bertsch McGrayne’s The Theory That Would Not Die.

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August 4, 2011

Bill Bergen’s Awesome Record of Futility: With two Bill Bergen marks being threatened by current players, the NY Times’ Lynn Zinser takes a closer look at the early-20th-century catcher’s epic offensive futility.

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July 28, 2011

Adam Dunn’s Historically Bad Season: At the NY Times, B-R’s Neil Paine writes about just how historically bad Adam Dunn’s 2011 has been.

July 22, 2011

Remember the Rangers? They’re Winning Again: Writing for the NY Times, B-R’s Neil Paine discusses the Texas Rangers’ great, relatively under-the-radar all-around performance this season (including their underrated defense).

July 15, 2011

Is the Six-Man Rotation Here to Stay?: At the NY Times, Ben Strauss examines the pro and cons of the six-man rotation.

Sizing Up Trade Needs in the A.L. East: Writing for the NY Times, B-R’s Sean Forman breaks down the strengths/weaknesses of the Red Sox, Yankees, & Rays, and looks for areas where each could upgrade at the trade deadline.

July 12, 2011

With Ichiro Suzuki, There’s Less Than Meets the Eye: Great piece from the NY Times’ Benjamin Hoffman on how Ichiro Suzuki’s immense talents don’t always translate to on-field production, sometimes by his own choice.

July 7, 2011

Dissecting Jair Jurrjens’ Surprising Success: Jonah Keri of Fangraphs and Neil Paine of the NY Times analyze why Jurrjens has frequently outperformed his DIPS numbers.

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July 6, 2011

N.B.A. Disputes Forbes Analysis Suggesting League is Profitable: No surprise — the NBA is denying many of the claims made in yesterday’s Nate Silver post about the league’s financial situation.

July 5, 2011

Calling Foul on N.B.A.’s Claims of Financial Distress : Nate Silver of the NY Times analyzes the discrepancy between Forbes’ estimate of the NBA’s financial health and the money-hemorrhaging image the owners are trying to paint in the media.

June 29, 2011

Same Numbers, Two Views of Fernandez: Rob Mahoney of the NY Times writes about the Mavs’ recent trade for Rudy Fernandez… The public set of plus/minus data at BasketballValue says Rudy was an average player at best over the past 2 seasons, but Dallas’ in-house +/- is impressed by the Spaniard. (For what it’s worth, the predictive Regularized Plus-Minus sees Rudy as a net negative.)

June 24, 2011

Doomed in April, Dominant in June: At the NY Times, Neil Paine looks at how the Red Sox have turned their season around, and puts their dominating June in historical context.

June 20, 2011

Jack McKeon is Really Old: How Old Is Jack McKeon? Variations on a theme from the NY Times, the Hardball Times, and FanGraphs. UPDATE: Oh, and Baseball Nation.

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June 10, 2011

After Jeter Reaches 3,000 Hits, Who’s Likely Next?: At the NY Times, Neil Paine uses Bill James’ Favorite Toy to estimate the probabilities of active players reaching 3,000 hits.

June 2, 2011

Keeping Score: They Won a Lot of Games, and Soon a Title: Writing for the NY Times, Neil Paine highlights the unprecedented group of superstars currently seeking their first ring.

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May 31, 2011

Which Team Has the Right Stuff to Win the Cup?: Chin and Granat also apply their championship characteristics research to the Stanley Cup Final.

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Keeping Score: Championship Characteristics in the N.B.A. Finals: Writing for the NY Times, Carlton J. Chin and Jay P. Granat discuss characteristics that champions share.

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May 26, 2011

Keeping Score: Among Phillies’ Four Aces, a Surprising Big Two: Neil Paine at the NY Times: Roy Halladay is no surprise atop the Phils’ staff, but their 2nd most valuable pitcher is Hamels, not Lee.

The Mets’ Bobblehead Curse Lives: Met players immortalized by the dreaded Gold’s Horseradish bobblehead usually end up injured or playing badly, writes Ken Belson of the NY Times’ Bats blog.

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May 24, 2011

Keeping Score: Bautista’s Stats Approach Those of the Greats: At the NY Times, Dan Rosenheck compares Jose Bautista’s start to 2011 ranks among historical hot streaks.

May 20, 2011

Keeping Score: Posada Put Off Decline for Years: At the NY Times, Neil Paine writes about how remarkable it is for Jorge Posada to have lasted this long before declining.

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May 17, 2011

Impact of Bulls’ Reserves Transcends Scoring: Rob Mahoney of the NY Times explains why Chicago’s reserves should be measured by efficiency differential, not bench points.

May 13, 2011

Keeping Score: It’s the Year of the Pitcher, Part II: At the NY Times, Sean Forman writes about the reasons behind the MLB-wide decline in offense.

May 11, 2011

Great Sports Nicknames Are Disappearing: John Branch of the NY Times writes about the death of great nicknames.

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May 6, 2011

In the Majors, Young Players Are Still Teething at the Plate: This year’s crop of debuts are historically bad at the plate, writes Sean Forman at the NY Times.

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April 14, 2011

Jeter May Benefit From Rest

Writing for the NY Times, Sean Forman suggests that the Yankees should keep Jeter fresh. Link

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