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August 29, 2011

Appearances & Rankings in the Weekly AP Poll (1936-2010): At Sportsdelve, Andrew McKillop also researched each school’s historical appearances — and placement — in the AP poll.

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A Tally of League Standings Leaders Heading Into September: SportsDelve’s Andrew McKillop counted how many times each team had the best record in the league on 9/1 — and how often they were able to convert that into a pennant.

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Trade Partners: Basketball-Reference has added a Trade Partners feature that lets you find all-time trades between any combination of teams.

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10 things I didn’t know about managerial match-ups: In honor of Tony LaRussa & Dusty Baker’s 200th matchup, THT’s Chris Jaffe takes a look at historic managerial rivalries.

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Where Chipper ranks among all-time 3B: ESPN’s David Schoenfield uses WAR to determine where Chipper Jones ranks in the pantheon of historical 3rd basemen.

August 26, 2011

Records As and Against the AP No. 1: SportsDelve’s Andrew McKillop compiled each school’s all-time record as and against the AP’s #1-ranked team.

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Does Hall overlook 19th century guys?: At SweetSpot, a discussion about whether 1800s ballplayers are under-represented in the Hall of Fame.

In A.L. M.V.P. Voting, Verlander Is Likely to Be Bypassed: At the NY Times, Neil Paine argues that Justin Verlander should — but probably won’t — be near the top of the A.L. MVP ballot.

August 25, 2011

The Decade’s Best and Worst Offensive Teams in Europe’s Top Leagues: Chris Anderson pays graphical tribute to the European teams that scored the most (and least) goals in a season over the past 10 years.

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Blowing It: BP’s Wayback Machine takes us to this 2007 Nate Silver piece about the 13 worst stretch-run collapses in baseball history.

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Halladay And Verlander Might Be MVP Worthy, But That’s An Uphill Battle: At Baseball Nation, Marc Normandin examines the chances of an extremely unlikely MVP occurence — namely, a pitcher being given the award.

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August 24, 2011

The Lineup Card – 11 Disastrous Acquisitions: BP’s staff makes their picks — 11 player acquisitions that backfired spectacularly.

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August 23, 2011

All About Overtime: SportsDelve’s Andrew McKillop compiles a complete record of NFL overtime for each team, and asks whether the NFL should use the playoff OT rule in the regular-season.

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Can Larry Fitzgerald break Jerry Rice’s receptions record?: PFR’s Chase Stuart looks at the pace Fitzgerald would have to maintain to have a shot at Rice’s all-time record for catches.

Best and Worst Means Something Different for Each NBA Team: At the Wages of Wins Journal, David Berri writes about efficiency differential, looking at each team’s best and worst seasons by the metric since 1974.

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Tracy McGrady’s Lost Season, 02-03: Hardwood Paroxysm’s Scott Leedy writes about T-Mac’s 2003 campaign, one of the most underrated all-time great seasons ever.

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August 22, 2011

SportsDelve on AP #1s and the Preseason Poll: A couple of AP poll-related posts from Andrew McKillop — first, a year-by-year look at where the defending AP champ ranked in the following preseason poll; then, a full list of AP preseason #1s (and how long the managed to keep the ranking).

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Mike Curtis – Canton In The Crosshairs: At MyHOFS, MJ Calabrese makes the case that 1960s/70s All-Pro LB Mike Curtis should be in the Hall of Fame.

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August 19, 2011

Brandon Morrow On The Way To A Historic Season: From Bluebird Banter, a look at Brandon Morrow’s remarkable double play-free 2011 season (in the course of 132.7 IP and 569 batters faced, he has induced exactly zero double plays).

Most Points Scored in a Pro Football Game / List of 60+ Point Games: SportsDelve’s Andrew McKillop researched the top scoring games across many different pro football leagues.

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2011 Pittsburgh Steelers = The New Over-The-Hill Gang: Jason Lisk of TBL writes about the Steelers, and specifically their aging defense. Historically, what does starting a bunch of guys on the wrong side of 30 mean?

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Twenty Guys Who Should Be Out of the Hall of Fame: You’ve seen lists of players who should be in the Hall of Fame before, but The Platoon Advantage lists 20 guys who should be out.

Matt Cain, unluckiest pitcher in history?: SweetSpot’s David Schoenfield points out that Cain’s W-L% is among the worst ever for a guy with his career ERA+. (Then again, looking at Cain’s 4.25 career xFIP vs. 3.37 career ERA, it’s tough to say he’s been the unluckiest anything…)

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August 18, 2011

BJO on 1960s Stoppers and Misappreciating Pedroia ($): At Bill James Online, Bill talks about 1960s “stoppers” (in those days, “stopper” meant the #1 starter, because he’d stop your losing streak), while Dave Fleming writes that Dustin Pedroia isn’t being properly appreciated as one of the best 2nd basemen ever.

Topps’ All-Star Rookies Vs. Donruss’ Rated Rookies — Who Won Out?: In the battle between 1980s/90s rookie card labels, which players ended up with better stats? Baseball Nation’s Jon Bois answers this burning question once and for all.

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What 2008 and 2009 Tell Us About the 2011 Panthers: TBL’s Jason Lisk looks for similar historical teams that fit Carolina’s profile in 2011 — teams that were ghastly the year before, but above-average in the 2 seasons before that.

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Best Little Leaguers to become big leaguers: Steven Glasser of ESPN Stats & Info lists the best major-leaguers who were also LLWS alums.

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2011 Giants = Lowest-Scoring Contender Ever?: By the standards of a playoff contender, Fangraphs’ Eric Seidman writes, the Giants’ offense has been historically bad.

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Boston’s Core Is Historically Good: BtB’s Satchel Price emphasizes just how outstanding Kevin Youkilis, Dustin Pedroia, Adrian Gonzalez, Jacoby Ellsbury and David Ortiz have been as a group this season.

August 17, 2011

Highest Percentage of Games Started by Rookies: At BBR, Neil Paine lists the teams (since 1983) that gave the greatest % of their starts to rookies.

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Hurt (and Helped) by the Defense: BtB’s Adam Darowski wants to know which historical pitchers were helped — and hurt — the most by the fielders behind them.

Did 600-homer guys hit cleanup?: ESPN’s David Schoenfield looks at how frequently the 600-HR Club members hit cleanup… It’s nowhere near as often as you probably think.

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August 16, 2011

CHFF on Team Red-Zone Regression, Jerry Rice’s Place in History: At the CHFF, read about teams whose red-zone performance will regress (and progress) to the mean in 2011, and the unassailable nature of Jerry Rice’s records.

Adjusting Playoff Stats Part III — 30 Post-Merger Stars: The latest from Back Picks on adjusting historical players’ playoff stats for the quality of competition faced.

Real minutes played: TrueHoop’s Henry Abbott writes about the leaders in “real” minutes played — that is, combined playoff and regular-season minutes. Beware hidden mileage!

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Jim Thome for the Hall of Fame: Is Jim Thome a Hall of Famer? BP’s Steven Goldman thinks so. As does Rob Neyer, although both anticipate some pushback from people crying “compiler!” And Tangotiger points out that Jeff Bagwell was better, but doesn’t have the benefit of that shiny 600-HR Club membership card.
UPDATE: Fangraphs’ Chris Cwik also weighs in on Thome.

Projecting the next 600-home run hitter ($): At ESPN, Dan Szymborski uses the ZiPS projection system to put odds on the next candidates vying for 600-HR Club membership.

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August 15, 2011

Last Undefeated Team / Winless Team in the NFL: Since 1970, Sportsdelve’s Andrew McKillop tracked the last team to be undefeated and winless in each NFL season.

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The Latest From SportsDelve.com: A couple of posts from Sportsdelve’s Andrew McKillop this weekend: first, he compiled complete records for FBS teams vs. Division II/III/NAIA schools; then, he tallied up winning and losing seasons for NHL franchises.

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A Thought About the Minnesota Vikings’ Offensive Collapse: At The Big Lead, Jason Lisk notes that Minnesota scored 189 fewer points in 2010 than in ’09. Historically, is there a “plexiglas principle”-type effect for teams whose offenses decline so sharply?

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The Randy Moss All-Stars: THT’s Chris Jaffe looks for baseball’s “Randy Moss All-Stars” — superb talents whose careers didn’t live up to expectations for self-inflicted reasons.

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August 12, 2011

Is Florida State set up to disappoint?: Trendy teams that make huge preseason leaps in the polls (like FSU) rarely live up to expectations, writes ESPN’s Chris Fallica.

Added 2011 Pages, Historical Coordinator Data: Pro-football-reference.com now has complete team offensive and defensive coordinator data going back to the 1970s.

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August 10, 2011

Four Decades of Super Bowl Quarterbacks: From the blog Slip and Tackle, an infographic (and accompanying data) regarding Super Bowl quarterbacks.

What’s New at SR/CFB?: Read about the epic additions Sports-Reference/College Football made to both its data and research tools.

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Should Thurman Munson Be In The Hall Of Fame?: Cybermetrics’ Cyril Morong considers Munson’s HoF case.

August 9, 2011

Request for Data (NHL Attendance): The Prince of Slides’ Brian Mills needs your help with historical NHL attendance data.

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The Wages-of-Wins-iest Tandems: Andres Alvarez of The Wages of Wins looks at the top tandems at various combinations of positions, according to Wins Produced.

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Cheap Wins vs. Tough Losses: BtB’s Adam Darowski flips around his post on Tough Losses from last week and looks at pitchers with the most “Cheap Wins”.

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Phillies among NL’s greatest ever?: With the Phillies on pace for 105 wins, ESPN’s David Schoenfield compares them to other NL teams that reached the 105-win mark in the past.

August 8, 2011

College Football Upsets – Small Colleges (FCS) Defeating Ranked Opponents: Andrew McKillop of SportsDelve.com found every known instance of a small (FCS) college beating an FBS team in football.

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The Bizarro Rickey Henderson: At The Big Lead, Jason Lisk searches for the bizarro version of Henderson’s speedy, record-setting season of 1982.

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10 things I didn’t know about winning 200 games: Also from Chris Jaffe and THT, 10 factoids you may not have known about the 200-win club.

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Carlos Zambrano and the all-time homer list for pitchers: THT’s Chris Jaffe looks at Zambrano’s increasingly impressive place in baseball history as a HR-hitting pitcher.

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August 5, 2011

LT, TD big winners on ‘rusher rating’ list: At CHFF, Ken Crippen of the PFRA presents an era-normalized ‘rusher rating’ (based on the framework of the NFL’s passer rating formula) and ranks all-time RB performances.

A Southern League ($): At BP, Dan Feldman looks at the regions that NBA players hail from. It turns out the South has historically produced the most players dating back to the early 1960s, although the Midwest has come on strong in the 2000s.

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August 4, 2011

Are We Actually Getting Better at Chess?: Sometimes you will hear complaints that top chess players’ Elo Ratings have been artificially inflated over time, but a new study suggests that the quality of top players’ moves are actually better now than they were 40 years ago.

Winning and Losing Seasons: SportsDelve’s Andrew McKillop tallied up the number of winning and losing seasons for each franchise in the NBA, NFL, and MLB.

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The Top 25 peak players (*according to wins produced): The Wages of Wins’ James Brocato ranked players’ peaks based on their 6 best Wins Produced seasons.

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Why When You Go Matters: BP’s Jeremy Greenhouse applies WPA concepts to stolen-base attempts, determining which players added the most SB value based on the situations in which they stole.

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Bill Bergen’s Awesome Record of Futility: With two Bill Bergen marks being threatened by current players, the NY Times’ Lynn Zinser takes a closer look at the early-20th-century catcher’s epic offensive futility.

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Beautiful Theories and Ugly Facts: Here’s a re-run of a 2006 Dan Fox BP article about the factors that drive league-wide HBP rates.

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August 3, 2011

Who will next year’s Hall of Famers be?: Writing for CHFF, Scott Kacsmar handicaps next year’s Pro Football Hall of Fame class.

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Ted Williams and perception: THT’s Josh Weinstock compares Ted Williams’ famous “heat map” of his own batting averages in each part of the zone to actual PITCHf/x data for lefties in 2011.

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Justin Verlander’s strong starts: THT’s Chad Evely writes about where Verlander’s multiple deep no-hit/perfect game bids this year ranks among the all-time great “strong start” seasons.

Tough Losses: BtB’s Adam Darowski posted a graphic illustrating what percentage of the losingest pitchers’ losses were “tough losses” (7+ IP, ER<=3).

August 2, 2011

The “Joey Bats Club” – How Unique Is Jose Bautista?: There’s A Stat For That looks at the “Joey Bats Club” — players who made massive, unprecedented leaps in isolated power from one season to the next.

Undefeated/Winless in NFL Preseason Play: SportsDelve.com’s Andrew McKillop looked at each franchise’s historical instances of going undefeated or winless in the preseason.

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Pro football’s Hall of Very Good (yes, it exists!): At Cold Hard Football Facts, researcher Ken Crippen writes about the PFRA’s official “Hall of Very Good”.

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Major League Baseball Approaches Its 200,000th Game Milestone ($): At the WSJ, Carl Bialik writes about the impending (or not) 200,000th game in Major League Baseball history.

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History’s H/9 Leaders – An Eclectic and Interesting Bunch: BtB’s Adam Darowski takes you on a tour of the pitchers with the all-time lowest H/9 IP ratios.

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Cooperstown in/out lines: THT’s Chris Jaffe went through the Hall of Famers, determining which player (at each position) represents the absolute minimum of what a HoFer “should” be.

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July 29, 2011

Splitting Rickey Henderson in Two: Bill James once said you could split Henderson in two and have two Hall of Famers. At Fangraphs, Matt Klaassen tests whether this is actually true.

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How Often Do Deadline Deals Pay Off?: BP’s Colin Wyers reviewed the data on 180 deadline moves since 1995, and found that very few actually made an impact in a playoff race.

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Greatest Cornerback Tandems of All-Time: In light of a possible Nnamdi Asomugha-Darrelle Revis pairing in New York, The Big Lead’s Jason Lisk looks at other great CB tandems throughout history.

Killing their Team: At the Wages of Wins Journal, Arturo Galletti writes about players who posted the worst Wins Produced numbers.

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Saving Bonds: Joe Posnanski has a question: where would Barry Bonds’ career rank if he had never taken performance-enhancing drugs?

July 28, 2011

Adam Dunn’s Historically Bad Season: At the NY Times, B-R’s Neil Paine writes about just how historically bad Adam Dunn’s 2011 has been.

There’s More Than One Way To Get a Winning Quarterback: The Big Lead’s Jason Lisk looked at how teams acquired their starting QBs (since 1995), and how successful each archetype was.

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July 27, 2011

Making the comparison – Mike Trout: Unlike the scout who compared Trout to Mickey Mantle, THT’s Jeff Moore tries to find realistic historical comps for the Angels’ phenom.

Prospectus’ 17 Favorite Midseason Trades: BP’s staff picked their 17 favorite summer swaps in baseball history.

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The Pirates and Indians win with cheap relief ($): At ESPN Insider, Dan Szymborski examines the relationship between the salaries a team spends on its bullpen and the WAR that bullpen produces.

The 10 Most Egregious Cy Young Award Snubs of All Time (at Least on Paper): Seamheads’ Mike Lynch lists the most indefensible Cy votes according to a mix of Win Shares Above Bench and WAR.

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Trades made by World Series winners: Do WS winners have a history of making significant moves at the trade deadline? ESPN’s Mark Simon and Jeremy Lundblad did the research.

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July 26, 2011

Grantland on Deadline Lessons, Childhood Simulations: A couple of Grantland baseball articles of note this afternoon — Jonah Keri’s seven lessons from trade deadlines past, and Michael Weinreb’s ode to an obscure tabletop baseball board game he played in his youth.

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5+ Seasons Since 1973 With 200+ IP and ERA+ >=120: From B-R, a list of the pitchers (since 1973) who had the most seasons with at least 200 IP and a 120 ERA+.

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Types of Fouls Committed & Drawn in the 2007 NBA: At Weak Side Awareness, some raw player data on fouls of various types (loose-ball, non-shooting, shooting) drawn and committed during the 2007 season.

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A Season for the Ages: Fangraphs’ Chris Cwik looks back on the statistical insanity of Barry Bonds’ fearsome 2004 season, when he walked 232 times (120 of which were intentional).

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July 25, 2011

Suns use history as reason to avoid rebuilding: The Suns conducted a study and found that teams who stalled at the Conference Finals, then tore up their roster, fared worse than teams who reloaded on the fly. At SI’s Point Forward, Zach Lowe attempted a quick check on their research.

Coaching Trees & Training Camps: SportsDelve’s Andrew McKillop concludes his series on NFL Coaching Trees, and updates his historical NFL training-camp location data.

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Breakout Or Fakeout?: There’s a Stat For That chronicles teams that “broke out” since 1980… How many actually kept the gains in future seasons?

Interception Returns for Scores: At The Big Lead, Jason Lisk researched how often teams win when scoring each type of non-offensive touchdown, and the typical score situation in which they occur.

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Ten things I didn’t know about franchise all-time records: THT’s Chris Jaffe presents 10 interesting factoids about all-time franchise records.

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Stuck in the Middle with You: BP’s Jay Jaffe ranks all-time Hall of Fame double-play combos using his JAWS score.

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4 BoSox hitters on pace for 6 Wins Above Replacement: At B-R, John Autin notes that the Red Sox are on pace to join some pretty elite historical WAR company.

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July 22, 2011

Does Your NBA Team Make You Happy Or Sad? An Investigation: SBNation’s Tom Ziller researched how consistently each team has played well (or poorly) since the ABA-NBA merger.

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Percentage of League Games That Were Back-to-Backs: Since 1999, how many games in each season featured at least 1 team playing its second game in two nights? BBR has the answer.

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Yao’s Star Burned Brightly, Briefly: At the WSJ, Carl Bialik gives an overview of the amazing advanced stats Yao Ming was able to produce before injuries ended his career far too early.

Blyleven’s Hall of Fame route went from old to new school: Tom Hoffarth of the Long Beach Press-Telegram writes about Bert Blyleven’s path to the HoF, and the role sabermetrics & the internet played in his induction.

Hank Greenberg should share RBI mark with Gehrig, statistician says: As Tim Twentyman of The Detroit News reports, a longstanding AL record could be in error.