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August 26, 2011

Most overrated/underrated players in NFL ($): FO’s Aaron Schatz looks at the Scouts Inc. player rankings, identifying players the scouts improperly valued.

August 25, 2011

Call for New Game Charters: You can help Football Outsiders by volunteering to chart games for them.

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August 22, 2011

Texas A&M Aggies, Nebraska Cornhuskers, Mississippi State Bulldogs could disappoint ($): At ESPN, FO’s Brian Fremeau breaks down a handful of teams whose preseason buzz might not be justified by their on-field performance in 2011.

August 19, 2011

FOA 2011 Now Available!: Football Outsiders’ yearly preview is out in electronic form today (hard copy coming next week).

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August 16, 2011

FEI Quality Control: At FO, Brian Fremeau explains some changes to his eponymous efficiency index, and the new philosophies behind them.

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August 8, 2011

Football Analytics Primer (Part 1): The NFL Minds Blog writes about the history and current philosophies of modern NFL “sabermetrics”.

August 3, 2011

Formation Analysis – Number of RBs, Part I: FO’s Danny Tuccitto has game-charted stats on how often teams lined up with a certain number of RBs on the field (and how effective they were in those formations).

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August 2, 2011

NCAA Resource-Centric Model, Part II. Writing for FO, Kevin Haynes continues his analysis of how a school’s resources determine its on-field success by looking at coaches who won more (and less) than we would expect from the resources their schools provide.

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July 28, 2011

NFL Under-25 Organization Rankings ($): FO’s Danny Tuccitto ranks every NFL team based on how they acquire and cultivate young talent.

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July 27, 2011

Ranking the top 10 prospects in the NFL ($): At ESPN, Aaron Schatz and Bill Barnwell unveil the top 10 of their annual prospect rankings.

July 26, 2011

Ranking the top 25 prospects in the NFL, Nos. 11-25 ($): At ESPN Insider, Aaron Schatz and Bill Barnwell present the first installment of their annual NFL prospect rankings.

July 25, 2011

A Resource-Centric Model for NCAA Football Success (Part I): At FO, Kevin Haynes researches the degree to which college football success is determined by a school’s resources.

July 21, 2011

Five Teams Endangered by Free Agency ($): These teams could be in deep trouble when the lockout ends and their free agents scatter, FO’s Rivers McCown writes at ESPN.

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July 18, 2011

Formation Analysis – Number of WRs Part II: Danny Tuccitto continues FO’s series on team WR formation tendencies and their effectiveness in each set.

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July 12, 2011

Top 10 NFL draft steals that failed ($): At ESPN, FO’s Rivers McCown lists the top 10 cases where a player looked like a draft-day steal, only to play down to (or below) his draft slot.

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July 11, 2011

Formation Analysis – Number of WRs Part I: FO’s Danny Tuccitto presents game-charted data on how often each offense used various numbers of WRs in 2010.

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July 8, 2011

Three-and-Outs Forced: FO’s Aaron Schatz lists the teams that forced the most 3-and-outs per opposing drive in 2010.

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June 29, 2011

Formation Analysis – Empty Backfields: More formation data from FO’s Aaron Schatz, this time looking at the most frequent and best practitioners of the empty set.

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Analyzing the 10 most disappointing oversights of the past 25 years ($): Writing for ESPN, FO’s Brian McIntyre lists the worst “oversights” — that is, players who were let go by one team only to become stars elsewhere — since 1986.

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June 27, 2011

Formation Analysis – 6OL Sets: FO’s Aaron Schatz used his game-charted data to list the teams that used 6-offensive linemen sets the most, and which ones were the most effective at it.

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June 22, 2011

Pass Tackles 2010: FO’s Aaron Schatz lists the defensive players who had the most tackles and stops on pass plays last season.

June 21, 2011

Analyzing the top 10 most disappointing fantasy seasons of the past 25 years ($): At ESPN Insider, FO’s Sean McCormick ranks the biggest fantasy busts in recent memory.

June 20, 2011

Lockout sure to burn blitzing, complex defenses: Writing for NBC Sports, FO’s Mike Tanier devised a “simplicity score” for defenses, to measure which teams will be hurt most by the lack of team preparation time during the lockout.

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June 14, 2011

Broken Tackles 2010 Part II: FO’s Aaron Schatz flips around the broken tackle stat and looks at offensive players and teams who broke the most tackles.

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Analyzing the top 10 most disappointing playoff teams of the past 25 years ($): Writing at ESPN Insider, Mike Tanier ranks the biggest NFL playoff disappointments.

FOA 2011 and KUBIAK 2011: Football Outsiders news — when you can find their book and projections.

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June 13, 2011

The best third-down running backs: Writing for Yahoo’s Shutdown Corner, FO’s Doug Farrar lists the RBs who had the best DVOA on 3rd down.

June 10, 2011

Team Counts of Broken Tackles 2010: Which teams allowed the most broken tackles last year? FO’s Aaron Schatz has the data.

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June 9, 2011

Ranking top 10 most disappointing free agents of past 25 years ($): Writing for ESPN, FO’s Brian McIntyre ranks the biggest free-agent flops of the last quarter-century.

Walkthrough: Second-and-10: At FO, Mike Tanier looks at the phenomenon of running the ball on 2nd-and-10.

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June 8, 2011

Broken Tackles 2010: Aaron Schatz of Football Outsiders lists their game-charted broken-tackle stats from last season.

June 2, 2011

Tricky offenses could be casualties of lockout: Writing for NBC Sports, Mike Tanier explains why simple offenses will be better suited to survive the lockout, and concocts a “Simplicity Score” to rank team playbooks.

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Best and Worst Run Stop Rates 2010: Football Outsiders lists the top (and bottom) players by Stop Rate, the percentage of a player’s plays that kept the offense from executing a successful play.

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May 31, 2011

Most Pass Defeats 2010: Another defensive leaderboard from FO’s Aaron Schatz, this time detailing the players who made drive-ending plays against offenses who took to the air.

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May 25, 2011

Alabama 1992 Defensive Game Charting: Gene Stallings’ Defensive Quality Control chart from 1992.

May 24, 2011

Most Run Defeats 2010: Who made the most drive-ending plays vs. the run last season? Aaron Schatz has the data at Football Outsiders.

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2011 New England Symposium on Statistics in Sports: At FO, Aaron Schatz lets us know about NESSIS 2011.

Analyzing the top 10 most disappointing trades of the past 25 years: At ESPN, Mike Tanier of Football Outsiders examines the 10 most disappointing NFL trades since 1985.

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May 19, 2011

Daryl Smith’s Year of Defeats: Aaron Schatz of Football Outsiders unveils the defeat leaders for 2010 (defeats are defensive plays that force a TO, cause a loss of yardage, or stop a 3rd/4th-down conversion).

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May 17, 2011

The top 10 most disappointing teams of the past 25 years: At ESPN, Sean McCormick of Football Outsiders gives his list of the most disappointing teams.

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May 16, 2011

RB vs. Different Defensive Schemes: John Clayton claimed smaller running backs are struggling with the rise of 3-4 defenses around the league. Is this true? FO’s Aaron Schatz investigates.

May 13, 2011

Undefeated SEC champ? Not in 2011: Next year it’s going to be harder than ever for an SEC team to go undefeated, writes Brian Fremeau of ESPN Insider.

May 10, 2011

Correlation of Offensive Line to RB Success: NFL Minds looks at how Football Outsiders’ O-line metrics relate to RB yards per carry.

April 26, 2011

Interview with Aaron Schatz: Jason Lisk of The Big Lead chats with the founder and President of Football Outsiders.

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April 13, 2011

Varsity Numbers: Adj. POE Revisited

Football Outsiders’ Bill Connelly looks at the adjusted Points Over Expected numbers for the 2010 college season. Link

April 12, 2011

Lewin Career Forecaster isn’t favorable towards Cam Newton

Football Outsiders’ Aaron Schatz writes at ESPN about the career forecast for Newton. Link

April 11, 2011

So Far On Football Study Hall…

An extensive recap of Bill Connelly’s research so far at Football Study Hall. Link