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August 29, 2011

Where Chipper ranks among all-time 3B: ESPN’s David Schoenfield uses WAR to determine where Chipper Jones ranks in the pantheon of historical 3rd basemen.

August 26, 2011

Does Hall overlook 19th century guys?: At SweetSpot, a discussion about whether 1800s ballplayers are under-represented in the Hall of Fame.

A look at team baserunning: At ESPN, Christina Kahrl takes a tour through the advanced team baserunning stats.

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Nyjer Morgan proves speed does slump ($): Writing for ESPN Insider, Fangraphs’ Dave Cameron debunks the old cliché that “speed never slumps”… In reality, players who rely heavily on their legs are often the most inconsistent performers.

August 24, 2011

Scouts Inc. 2011 player rankings: Scouts Inc. released their ranking of the top 200 NFL players at ESPN this week.

August 22, 2011

Commenting on ESPN’s Total Quarterback Rating (QBR): WoW’s David Berri offers his take on ESPN’s Total QBR.

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August 19, 2011

‘Canes take NFL scoring by storm: Hank Gargiulo of ESPN Stats & Info writes about Miami’s remarkable streak — a Hurricanes alum has scored a touchdown in 139 consecutive NFL regular season weeks, dating back to Week 15 of 2002.

Matt Cain, unluckiest pitcher in history?: SweetSpot’s David Schoenfield points out that Cain’s W-L% is among the worst ever for a guy with his career ERA+. (Then again, looking at Cain’s 4.25 career xFIP vs. 3.37 career ERA, it’s tough to say he’s been the unluckiest anything…)

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August 18, 2011

Is Eli Manning a Top-10 QB?: This week, Eli Manning said he was in the same class of QB as Tom Brady. What sayeth ESPN’s new Total QBR?

How Jim Leyland is hurting the Tigers: Batting order doesn’t make a huge difference, but as ESPN’s David Schoenfield writes, Jim Leyland isn’t helping Detroit’s offense by penciling in some of his worst OBPs highest in the lineup.

Best Little Leaguers to become big leaguers: Steven Glasser of ESPN Stats & Info lists the best major-leaguers who were also LLWS alums.

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August 17, 2011

ESPN’s NBA Player Rankings: As everyone seems to be doing nowadays, ESPN.com and the TrueHoop Network are ranking the top players in the NBA… #401-500 are here, and #351-400 is in progress here.

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Did 600-homer guys hit cleanup?: ESPN’s David Schoenfield looks at how frequently the 600-HR Club members hit cleanup… It’s nowhere near as often as you probably think.

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August 16, 2011

Projecting the next 600-home run hitter ($): At ESPN, Dan Szymborski uses the ZiPS projection system to put odds on the next candidates vying for 600-HR Club membership.

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August 15, 2011

Peter Bourjos has them covered: At ESPN Los Angeles, Mark Simon writes about BIS’ defensive metrics, and how highly Peter Bourjos ranks in them.

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August 12, 2011

QBR, ESPN’s Deeply Flawed Made-For-TV Stat: You knew this was coming… A post, by the CHFF’s Kevin Braig, vigorously defending passer rating.

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Who delivers from the cleanup spot?: ESPN’s David Schoenfield takes a look at the #4 hitters who are driving in the greatest % of men on base when they come to the plate.

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August 11, 2011

Sabermetrics broadcaster: Tangotiger gives well-deserved props to Jon “Boog” Sciambi of ESPN Radio, the most stat-friendly broadcaster in MLB.

August 10, 2011

What would it take for Dunn to hit .200?: ESPN’s David Schoenfield calculated what Adam Dunn would have to hit over the rest of the year to reach a .200 batting average for the season.

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August 9, 2011

Phillies among NL’s greatest ever?: With the Phillies on pace for 105 wins, ESPN’s David Schoenfield compares them to other NL teams that reached the 105-win mark in the past.

August 8, 2011

Total Quarterback Rating (QBR) Reax: Tons of reactions this weekend in the wake of ESPN’s Friday launch of a new QB rating: TBL’s Jason Lisk posted an initial take, then compared QBR to passer rating … At PFR, Chase Stuart gave his thoughts, while Neil Paine looked at how QBR correlates with other QB metrics … Outside the Hashes also ran correlations with Brian Burke’s stats, and last but not least, Code & Football posted an overview of the critiques of QBR.

UPDATE: Drive-By Football also weighs in.

A tale of two seasons for Dan Uggla: ESPN’s Mark Simon & Katie Sharp have more on Uggla’s sudden transformation from hitting .139 on July 4 to .408 ever since.

August 5, 2011

Even More on Total QB Rating: Want more info on ESPN’s new QB rating system? Read this Peter Keating piece on why it’s necessary, this Chris Sprow article on scrambling leaders, check out the 2010 overall leaders here, and 2008-10 3-year leaders here.

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Yankees, Red Sox key defenders: ESPN’s Mark Simon & Katie Sharp run down the BIS fielding numbers on the key defensive matchups of this weekend’s Red Sox-Yankees duel.

More on ESPN’s Total Quarterback Rating: Dean Oliver explains more of the nuts and bolts of the new ESPN QB rating system; also, for an assessment of the methodology, read this Outside the Hashes post. UPDATE: And check out the discussion thread at Football Outsiders.

August 4, 2011

New ESPN quarterback rating system factors in larger set of variables: ESPN is rolling out a new QB rating tomorrow night, and the early signs are encouraging — it’s developed by some top analytic minds (Dean Oliver, Jeff Bennett, Ben Alamar, etc.), and it’s going to take into account down-and-distance, plus the play’s impact on win probability (a la Leverage Index).

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August 3, 2011

2011 NFL win totals released by the Hilton ($): For those looking to compare projection systems to the Vegas numbers, ESPN’s Chad Millman posted the Hilton’s team-by-team season win over-unders.

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August 2, 2011

Bourn vs. Pence: Maybe the most curious trade deadline phenomenon (from a sabermetric perspective) was the fact that Hunter Pence received more hype — and got a better trade return — than Michael Bourn, despite Bourn being the better player by various versions of WAR… With more on this, here’s ESPN’s David Schoenfield and Baseball Nation’s Rob Neyer.

July 28, 2011

NFL Under-25 Organization Rankings ($): FO’s Danny Tuccitto ranks every NFL team based on how they acquire and cultivate young talent.

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July 27, 2011

Dan Haren, Jered Weaver have high work factor, could be due for a late-season slide: At ESPN, AJ Mass uses Tangotiger’s estimated pitch counts to find pitchers who are laboring more than they have to (and as a result could wear down late in the season).

Trades made by World Series winners: Do WS winners have a history of making significant moves at the trade deadline? ESPN’s Mark Simon and Jeremy Lundblad did the research.

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July 26, 2011

Timing is everything for Georgia Tech: Georgia Tech’s option offense is so unique that they have a great built-in advantage when facing an opponent who only had 1 week to prepare. Unfortunately, as Josh Parcell of ESPN Stats & Info points out, the downside to this is that opponents who have longer to prepare fare much, much better against the Jackets.

July 21, 2011

Five Teams Endangered by Free Agency ($): These teams could be in deep trouble when the lockout ends and their free agents scatter, FO’s Rivers McCown writes at ESPN.

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Winning the most with Phill-ins?: At ESPN’s SweetSpot Blog, Christina Kahrl takes a look at the Phillies’ “Phill-ins” — theoretically replacement-level players who have performed much better than that, helping Philly weather injuries and maintain the best record in MLB.

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July 15, 2011

Keith Law’s Updated 2011 Top 50 prospects ($): ESPN’s Keith Law has updated his 2011 prospect rankings, taking into account the first half of the MiLB season and the Futures Game.

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July 14, 2011

Harrison Wrong About Roethlisberger: During his Men’s Journal tirade, James Harrison ripped Ben Roethlisberger for committing turnovers in the Steelers’ own territory, comparing him unfavorably to Peyton Manning. According to ESPN’s Stats & Info, though, Big Ben was arguably the NFL’s most efficient QB inside his team’s 50, far outpacing Manning’s stats in his own territory.

July 13, 2011

First half “Web Gem” All-Stars: Using total “Web Gems” and some of Baseball Info Solutions’ more arcane fielding stats, ESPN Stats & Info compiled their list of 1st-half defensive all-stars.

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July 12, 2011

The impact of the Home Run Derby: ESPN’s Stats & Info studied whether it’s really true that participating in the Home Run Derby “messes up players’ swings”.

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Mark Simon Interview: Seamheads.com’s Andrew Martin sits down with ESPN uber-researcher Mark Simon.

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July 7, 2011

Reds, Giants need cleanup production: ESPN’s David Schoenfield wonders, can a team make the playoffs with poor production from the cleanup slot?

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July 6, 2011

Strikeout Mania 2011!: Strikeouts are taking over baseball this season, writes ESPN’s David Schoenfield. His colleague Christina Kahrl concurs, and ESPN’s Stats & Info notes that a number of these Ks are coming in a different way than we traditionally think strikeouts happen.

June 29, 2011

The NBA Finals and statistical bias: Sick of responses to Jonah Lehrer’s anti-saber Grantland piece yet? Don’t let it keep you from reading this Tom Haberstroh rebuttal.

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Analyzing the 10 most disappointing oversights of the past 25 years ($): Writing for ESPN, FO’s Brian McIntyre lists the worst “oversights” — that is, players who were let go by one team only to become stars elsewhere — since 1986.

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June 27, 2011

More On Wigan’s Unusual Goals – A PS From ESPN: At Soccer By The Numbers, Chris Anderson follows up on an earlier post he made about Wigan’s strange goal-scoring distribution.

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June 20, 2011

Hollinger’s Draft Rater: ESPN’s John Hollinger posts his statistical ranking of this year’s draft prospects.

June 17, 2011

Will Jimmer’s skills translate to next level?: Peter Newmann and Dean Oliver of ESPN assess Jimmer Fredette’s NBA readiness.

Ultimate Team Rankings – All Sports: Here’s the 2011 edition of ESPN’s annual Ultimate Standings, a fan-friendliness ranking of all teams in North America’s big 4 sports.

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June 16, 2011

How Mavs’ style swap beat the Heat: ESPN’s Dean Oliver breaks down the clash of styles between the Mavs and Heat, and how Dallas ultimately prevailed.

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Updated Hollinger Finals Rankings ($) John Hollinger has updated his lists of the best historical individual Finals performances and Finals teams.

June 13, 2011

Even in loss, Tim Thomas should earn Conn Smythe nod ($): At ESPN Insider, HP’s Tom Awad uses GVT to explain why the Bruins’ netminder deserves the playoff MVP no matter how his team fares.

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Nowitzki, Mavs are too clutch for Heat: ESPN’s Stats & Info presents some remarkable clutch stats from the 2011 Finals.

How GMs prepare for trades: At ESPN, former Reds and Nationals GM Jim Bowden takes you behind the scenes of the trading process.

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Victory for the geeks: Last night’s Finals win for Dallas was also a win for data-driven coaching, John Hollinger writes at TrueHoop. (See also: this TrueHoop post about the influence of Roland Beech, Dallas’ head analytics honcho.)

June 10, 2011

Dallas Mavericks look like past champions ($): The Mavs aren’t all that different from some NBA champions of the past, writes John Hollinger of ESPN.

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June 9, 2011

Ranking top 10 most disappointing free agents of past 25 years ($): Writing for ESPN, FO’s Brian McIntyre ranks the biggest free-agent flops of the last quarter-century.

Thoughts on LeBron James’ Passivity: More notes about James’ much-criticized Game 4 from Hoopdata, ESPN Stats & Info, and Back Picks.

June 7, 2011

Ranking the greatest series ever: At ESPN, John Hollinger concocts a formula to rank the 50 best playoff series since the NBA-ABA merger.

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June 3, 2011

The Improbability of Dallas’ Comeback: Notes on just how close Miami was to a stranglehold on the Finals, from John Hollinger and Neil Paine.

June 2, 2011

What the regular season really means ($): The Heat are proving how much regular-season head-to-head records really mean, writes John Hollinger at ESPN.

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Shaq by the Numbers: ESPN takes a look at Shaq’s stat dominance in these posts from David Hess and Stats & Info.

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Swing change great for Curtis Granderson: Evan Kaplan & Sharon Katz of ESPN Stats & Info compare Granderson’s performances vs. lefties in 2011 and 2010.

June 1, 2011

In June, not all division leads are equal: The security of your June 1 lead depends on what league you’re in, writes David Bearman of ESPN Stats & Info.

May 30, 2011

Analyzing where Dirk Nowitzki’s postseason ranks all time: At ESPN, David Hess of TeamRankings.com tries to assess how Dirk’s playoffs compare to other great performances from the past.

May 27, 2011

Why hiring defensive-minded coaches is the way to go: At ESPN, Kevin Pelton evaluates the Mike Brown hire in LA.

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Miami Heat Myths vs. Realities: John Hollinger of ESPN on how the Heat proved their critics wrong.

Pineda Data: A couple of notes on Michael Pineda — 1st, a look at his pinpoint accuracy at ESPN; then, check out Don’t Bring In The Lefty’s analysis of his PITCHf/x data.

David Cone on Advanced Stats: From NY Mag — it turns out David Cone is a stathead. Cone also spoke about the subject on ESPN’s Baseball Today podcast.

MJ vs. LeBron: What the stats say: Tom Haberstroh of ESPN compares LeBron James to Michael Jordan.

May 24, 2011

Breaking down Rose and Westbrook: John Hollinger compares the 2 dynamic guards. Despite different narratives, they’re very similar players.

May 18, 2011

How the Miami Heat can even score in Game 2: ESPN’s John Hollinger suggests a counter-intuitive way for Miami to get back into their series with Chicago.

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May 17, 2011

The top 10 most disappointing teams of the past 25 years: At ESPN, Sean McCormick of Football Outsiders gives his list of the most disappointing teams.

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May 12, 2011

Thunder’s most important player is … Nick Collison?: ESPN’s John Hollinger lays out the plus/minus case for Collison.

Practice your free throws mid-game: Alok Pattani of ESPN Stats and Information found that players make the 2nd of 2 FTs 4% more often than than the 1st.

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May 11, 2011

Unlikely combo leads Bulls in fourth: A little-used 5-man unit carried the Bulls in Game 5, according to ESPN’s Stats & Info.

May 4, 2011

Why did the Chicago Bulls and Los Angeles Lakers lose Game 1? Defense: ESPN’s John Hollinger looks at the defensive side of the ball in assessing the Bulls’ and Lakers’ game 1 losses.

Who has the best outfield throwing arm?: Yesterday we saw one attempt to answer the question; now Christina Kahrl tries her hand at ESPN’s SweetSpot blog.

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May 3, 2011

ESPN HR Tracker – April: The long, short, high, and low of April HR from ESPN’s Stats & Info.

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May 2, 2011

Did the Heat settle for too many jumpers?: Tom Haberstroh of ESPN’s Heat Index reviews the Synergy Data on Miami’s Game 1 shot selection.

April 29, 2011

How difficult to develop a 50-game winner?: At SweetSpot, David Schoenfield ponders homegrown 50-game winners.

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April 28, 2011

The numbers behind a catch and a just-miss: Mark Simon of ESPN’s Stats & Info breaks down BABIP by fly ball hangtime, as it relates to Brent Lillibridge’s game-saving catch on Tuesday.

April 27, 2011

Memphis Grizzlies’ Tony Allen deserves credit: ESPN’s John Hollinger highlights Allen’s great defensive play.

The Guillen Number: Writing for ESPN’s SweetSpot blog, Christina Kahrl looks at the ChiSox’s “Guillen Number” (the percentage of runs scored via HR).

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Be very afraid of Jose Bautista: David Schoenfield of SweetSpot has numbers suggestion Bautista might be the most “feared” hitter in MLB.

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Where do winning pitchers come from?: David Schoenfield of SweetSpot looked at each team’s winningest pitchers since 2001, noting how many were home-grown.

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April 26, 2011

Series of unfortunate events: ESPN’s John Hollinger looks at seven unpredictable developments that have shaped the 1st round.

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Crazy ’86: Last pitcher to hit walk-off HR – SweetSpot Blog – ESPN Mark Simon of ESPN runs down the details of the last walkoff home run by a pitcher.

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April 25, 2011

A better way to look at teams in the clutch

Tom Haberstroh of the Heat Index has a new way to judge team records in close games. Link

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Upsetting weekends

ESPN’s Henry Abbott found a strange 2011 playoff split between underdog performance on the weekends vs. during the week. Link

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No Magic fingers in loss to Hawks

At TrueHoop, ESPN’s Stats & Info crew has a breakdown of FG% by distance in Magic-Hawks game 4. Link

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April 23, 2011

Examining the numbers behind shift strategies

Writing for ESPN Insider, BIS’ Ben Jedlovec provides data on which hitters should legitimately see defensive shifts. Link

April 22, 2011

Examining the playoff trends

Early playoff stat trends from ESPN’s John Hollinger. Link

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Web takes on Ryan Braun extension

ESPN’s Justin Havens says Milwaukee is following ‘The Tulo Way’ by extending Braun. But Dan Szymborski and Dave Cameron are wondering if the Brewers just made a big mistake.

Heat get offensive on the glass for big lead

ESPN’s Stats & Info dug up the statistical nuggets on Miami’s big offensive rebounding performance. Link

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April 21, 2011

Must-know nuggets for 2011 NFL schedule

ESPN’s Stats & Info dug up scheduling tidbits for each division. Link

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Fancy stats on the airwaves

TrueHoop’s Henry Abbott once again takes to the airwaves to promote advanced stats. Link

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The best-paid athletes from 182 countries

For an upcoming story in The Mag, ESPN researched each country’s highest-paid athlete. Link

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Why batting order matters

Matt Meyers of ESPN Insider summarizes the current research on lineup optimization. Link

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Gonzalez’s Monster potential … and why we’ve yet to see it

ESPN Boston’s Jeremy Lundblad analyzes Adrian Gonzalez’s early Red Sox results with batted ball and PITCHf/x data. Link

April 20, 2011

Document hints Cubs threw 1918 Series to BoSox

According to ESPN, a recently-discovered court deposition suggests the Cubs may have intentionally lost the 1918 World Series. Link

April 19, 2011

Projecting rest-of-season performance for early-season surprises

Writing for ESPN Insider, Dan Szymborski attempts to sort out early-season flukes from real trends. Link