S-R: MLB | NBA · CBB | NFL · CFB | NHL | Oly | Stathead
Stathead

August 26, 2011

Do Pitchers Really Trade Speed for Command?: At BP, Graham Goldbeck wonders whether pitchers really can improve command by “taking a little off” their fastball.

Category: Baseball, Tags: , , , , . Comments Off.

August 25, 2011

Blowing It: BP’s Wayback Machine takes us to this 2007 Nate Silver piece about the 13 worst stretch-run collapses in baseball history.

Category: Baseball, Tags: , , , . Comments Off.

August 24, 2011

The Lineup Card – 11 Disastrous Acquisitions: BP’s staff makes their picks — 11 player acquisitions that backfired spectacularly.

Category: Baseball, Tags: , , , . Comments Off.

If the Season Ended Yesterday – Yankees Over Phillies: At Beyond the Box Score, J-Doug runs Baseball Prospectus’ and FanGraphs’ true talent estimates through a Log5-based postseason simulator.

August 23, 2011

BP’s Compensation Pages: Baseball Prospectus has incorporated data from Cot’s Baseball Contracts into their player cards.

Category: Baseball, Tags: , , , , . Comments Off.

August 22, 2011

Is Prospect Potential Realized? ($): BP’s Derek Carty studied whether top prospects (per Baseball America’s annual list) were more likely to exceed their Marcel projections than non-prospects.

Category: Baseball, Tags: , , , . Comments Off.

August 18, 2011

Turning ‘em Loose ($): BP’s Derek Carty takes his research on managerial SBA effects and sees if it would help predict players’ SBA rates in 2011.

Category: Baseball, Tags: , , , , . Comments Off.

August 17, 2011

Why are Batters Hit by Pitches?: BP’s Mike Fast investigates the factors that determine whether a pitch hits a batter.

Category: Baseball, Tags: , , , . Comments Off.

Home-Field Disadvantage?: BP’s R.J. Anderson asks whether it’s better to win one’s division or the wildcard from a home-field advantage perspective.

Category: Baseball, Tags: , , , , . Comments Off.

August 16, 2011

Jim Thome for the Hall of Fame: Is Jim Thome a Hall of Famer? BP’s Steven Goldman thinks so. As does Rob Neyer, although both anticipate some pushback from people crying “compiler!” And Tangotiger points out that Jeff Bagwell was better, but doesn’t have the benefit of that shiny 600-HR Club membership card.
UPDATE: Fangraphs’ Chris Cwik also weighs in on Thome.

August 15, 2011

Fast Breakers: Who’s been hot since the All-Star break? BP’s Jay Jaffe lists two players at each position who have been great after the midsummer classic.

Category: Baseball, Tags: , , , , . Comments Off.

Managing a Need for Speed ($): BP’s Derek Carty uses a WOWY approach to determine the impact that managers have on their players’ SBA rates.

Victor’s Missing Power: Where did Victor Martinez’s power go this season? BP’s Jason Collette investigates.

Category: Baseball, Tags: , , , . Comments Off.

August 11, 2011

The Uggla/Ramirez Paradox: BP’s Michael Jong dissects the seasons of former Florida teammates Dan Uggla and Hanley Ramirez. Production-wise, their 2011s have been strikingly similar, but narrative-wise…

August 10, 2011

What to Expect from Strasburg: BP’s R.J. Anderson looks at past Tommy John surgery recipients to get a better read on how Stephen Strasburg might perform upon returning to the mound.

August 9, 2011

When is playing for your own stats acceptable?: BP’s Wayback Machine travels back to 2006, when Joe Sheehan asked whether records and accomplishments are tainted if achieved when the player puts them ahead of the team’s goals.

Category: Baseball, Tags: , , , . Comments Off.

August 5, 2011

Vortices of Suck, Part II ($): More from BP’s Jay Jaffe on MLB’s worst, most detrimental players (or groups of players on the same team) at each position.

Category: Baseball, Tags: , , . Comments Off.

Moping About Moneyball: At BP, David Brown laments how much more the Moneyball movie would resonate if Oakland’s current on-field product wasn’t so terrible.

Category: Baseball, Tags: , , , . Comments Off.

August 4, 2011

Paging Pujols ($): BP’s Colin Wyers asks how much Pujols’ disappointing season has cost the Cardinals in terms of playoff probability.

Counsell for the Defense: BP’s Mike Fast presents an incredibly detailed chronicle of Craig Counsell’s 0-for-45 streak.

Why When You Go Matters: BP’s Jeremy Greenhouse applies WPA concepts to stolen-base attempts, determining which players added the most SB value based on the situations in which they stole.

Category: Baseball, Tags: , , , , , . Comments Off.

The Asian Equation – Finding Relief from NPB: In his latest piece on Japanese baseball, BP’s Michael Street writes about why relievers have been the best bargains among NPB imports.

Category: Baseball, Tags: , , , , . Comments Off.

Beautiful Theories and Ugly Facts: Here’s a re-run of a 2006 Dan Fox BP article about the factors that drive league-wide HBP rates.

Category: Baseball, Tags: , , , , . Comments Off.

August 3, 2011

Vortices of Suck, Part I ($): BP’s Jay Jaffe lists the worst, most team-destroying players at each position.

Category: Baseball, Tags: , , . Comments Off.

The Trade Deadline Money Trail: At BP, Jeff Euston looks into how much payroll each team added or subtracted at the trade deadline.

July 29, 2011

How Often Do Deadline Deals Pay Off?: BP’s Colin Wyers reviewed the data on 180 deadline moves since 1995, and found that very few actually made an impact in a playoff race.

Category: Baseball, Tags: , , , . Comments Off.

Beltran and Damon ($): BP’s Jay Jaffe compares the Hall of Fame cases for a couple of former Kansas City outfielders.

Category: Baseball, Tags: , , , , . Comments Off.

July 27, 2011

The Mystery of Jered Weaver: BP’s Tommy Bennett wonders why Weaver’s ERA is perpetually better than his FIP would predict, and how is he able to induce so many pop-ups?

Category: Baseball, Tags: , , , , , . Comments Off.

Prospectus’ 17 Favorite Midseason Trades: BP’s staff picked their 17 favorite summer swaps in baseball history.

Category: Baseball, Tags: , , , . Comments Off.

July 26, 2011

Bochy Wins the Close Ones: At BP, Geoff Young puts the close-game performance of the 2011 Giants — and other Bruce Bochy-led teams — in historical context.

July 25, 2011

Stuck in the Middle with You: BP’s Jay Jaffe ranks all-time Hall of Fame double-play combos using his JAWS score.

Category: Baseball, Tags: , , , , , , . Comments Off.

July 22, 2011

The Two Sides of Jhoulys Chacin ($): Don’t let Chacin’s 3.95 ERA since June 1st fool you, writes BP’s Jason Collette. His peripherals are going in the wrong direction, particularly a 6.18 FIP over the same span.

July 21, 2011

The Avila Advantage ($): At BP, Ben Lindbergh writes about the Tigers’ great fortune in having Alex Avila, a great offensive player at a typically light-hitting position.

July 20, 2011

The Cold Corner ($): Why are third basemen so unproductive this season? BP’s Jay Jaffe investigates.

Category: Baseball, Tags: , , . Comments Off.

The Top 13 Veterans Committee Selections That Weren’t THAT Bad ($): From BP, here’s a baker’s dozen Veteran Committee HoF picks that can actually be justified statistically.

Category: Baseball, Tags: , , , . Comments Off.

A Zone of Their Own: A wealth of great pitch-data analysis by BP’s Mike Fast illuminates the constant struggle between batter and pitcher over control of the strike zone.

Category: Baseball, Tags: , , , . Comments Off.

Footloose and Fastball-Free: At BP, Sam Miller discusses whether we’ll ever see an all-fastball pitcher, and the strategic implications thereof.

Category: Baseball, Tags: , , , , . Comments Off.

July 18, 2011

The Replacement-Level Killers, Part II: The second part of Jay Jaffe’s BP series about sub-replacement-level players torpedoing contenders (and what they can do about it).

Category: Baseball, Tags: , , . Comments Off.

July 15, 2011

The Replacement-Level Killers, Part I ($): BP’s Jay Jaffe begins a trip around the diamond, “highlighting” sub-replacement WARP players on contenders and suggesting what those teams can do to get better production in the 2nd half.

Category: Baseball, Tags: , , . Comments Off.

July 14, 2011

Resetting the Division Races ($): BP checks in on the division races in the American League and National League with the help of PECOTA’s playoff odds.

Category: Baseball, Tags: , , , , . Comments Off.

Mid-season Heroes and Goats, Part 2: BP’s R.J. Anderson finishes his series by listing the best and worst WARP pitchers on each team at the All-Star break.

Category: Baseball, Tags: , . Comments Off.

July 13, 2011

Cult Favorites: From BP, a list of 18 non-star ballplayers who should be better remembered.

Category: Baseball, Tags: , , , . Comments Off.

Trades that Made a Difference: Hop into the BP Wayback Machine for this 2008 Steven Goldman piece about high-impact trades that took place around the deadline.

Category: Baseball, Tags: , , , , . Comments Off.

July 12, 2011

PITCHf/x for the Future: A couple of posts — one from Baseball Prospectus, the other from The Hardball Times — that break down the PITCHf/x data collected during the Futures Game.

Category: Baseball, Tags: , , , , . Comments Off.

Mid-season Heroes and Goats, Part 1: BP’s R.J. Anderson lists the best and worst first-half position players on each team according to WARP.

Category: Baseball, Tags: , , . Comments Off.

July 11, 2011

More SABR 41 Recaps: HuffPo’s Jeff Polman wrote about how much fun he had at the convention; meanwhile, Colin Wyers liveblogged the event in two parts.

Category: Baseball, Tags: , , , , . Comments Off.

NL East Pitching Dominance: Is the NL East baseball’s best starting-pitching division? BP’s Michael Jong takes a look.

Category: Baseball, Tags: , , , , . Comments Off.

July 8, 2011

Projecting Freshman Performance: BP’s Drew Cannon comes up with a system to project an incoming freshman’s performance level based on his recruiting ranking out of high school, age, and size.

Adding Injury Averages: BP has added 2 new features to their injury reports — the average games lost to each specific injury, as well as the average impact the injury has on performance when the player eventually returns.

Category: Baseball, Tags: , . Comments Off.

July 7, 2011

Walkless Wonders: In honor of Gary DiSarcina, BP’s Ben Lindbergh presents an historical “award” for players who saw the most ABs before drawing their first walk of the season. Unless Wily Mo Pena extends his current form, mark Vlad Guerrero down as the 2011 winner.

Category: Baseball, Tags: , , , , , . Comments Off.

The Decline of NPB Pitching Imports: BP’s Michael Street continues his series on Asian baseball by examining the high rate of flameouts among Japanese pitching imports.

Category: Baseball, Tags: , , , , . Comments Off.

July 5, 2011

Setting the Line–Mid-season Update: At BP, Ken Funck looks at players who defied the preseason over/unders on their individual stats.

Category: Baseball, Tags: , , , . Comments Off.

Six-Man Mania: BP’s R.J. Anderson dissects some teams’ recent dalliances with the 6-man rotation, and whether it can become a full-fledged trend going forward.

Category: Baseball, Tags: , , . Comments Off.

July 1, 2011

BP Staff All-Star Selections: The results of Prospectus’ staff ASG vote.

Category: Baseball, Tags: , . Comments Off.

June 30, 2011

Crawford vs. Reyes: Jose Reyes’ career path through 2011 is tracking with Carl Crawford’s through 2010, writes BP’s Michael Jong, so expect a huge payday if he keeps it going.

Un-Stars: Step into BP’s Wayback Machine and travel back to summer 2005, when James Click listed the most undeserving All-Stars ever.

Category: Baseball, Tags: , , , . Comments Off.

June 29, 2011

Pinpointing Pitcher Injuries: At Baseball Prospectus, Corey Dawkins and Ben Lindbergh break down the points in the delivery where injuries are most likely to occur.

Category: Baseball, Tags: , , , . Comments Off.

June 28, 2011

The Stat Community Responds to Jonah Lehrer: Grantland’s Jonah Lehrer wrote an anti-sabermetrics article yesterday, and it was a big topic of discussion at BBTF, The Book Blog, Fangraphs, and Baseball Prospectus. Update: And Beyond the Boxscore.

June 24, 2011

Anyway, Anyhow, Anywhere I Choose – Fandom in the 21st Century: At BP, Jason Fry writes about how technology has changed our ability to follow the game in recent years.

Category: Baseball, Tags: , , . Comments Off.

June 23, 2011

Checks and Balances: BP’s Jeremy Greenhouse employs a timeline adjustment to map the balance of power between hitters and pitchers over time.

Birds of a Different Feather: Jays hitters have the biggest OPS platoon split of any team, BP’s R.J. Anderson points out.

Category: Baseball, Tags: , , . Comments Off.

June 20, 2011

When Pitchers’ Stats Stabilize: Derek Carty of BP follows up on his research about batters with another study, this time testing how much of a sample is needed for pitcher stats to become indicative of true skill.

Category: Baseball, Tags: , , , , . Comments Off.

June 17, 2011

The Man Who Knew Too Much (About Baseball): At BP, Will Leitch can’t help but wonder if ignorance of sabermetrics is bliss.

Category: Baseball, Tags: , , , . Comments Off.

June 16, 2011

D-Back Thoughts: A couple of perspectives on Arizona’s 2011 season from Baseball Prospectus and The Hardball Times.

Category: Baseball, Tags: , , . Comments Off.

June 15, 2011

The New Approach to Pitching: A BP, Jason Collette summarizes the new way pitchers have been approaching their craft in recent seasons.

Category: Baseball, Tags: , , . Comments Off.

Vogelsong Poetry: BP’s Mike Fast breaks down the PITCHf/x details on Ryan Vogelsong.

June 14, 2011

Arguing Baseball’s Best Players: BP’s Larry Granillo unearthed a 1950s-era pseudo-scientific attempt to rank baseball’s best players.

Category: Baseball, Tags: , , . Comments Off.

June 13, 2011

When Hitters’ Stats Stabilize: BP’s Derek Carty revisits the issue, and improves on several similar studies from the past.

BABIPs, Young and Old: At BP, a look from Jason Collette at what BABIP means for hitters of different ages.

Category: Baseball, Tags: , , , . Comments Off.

June 9, 2011

Searching for Consistency: Does a consistent release point matter for pitchers? BP’s Jeremy Greenhouse investigates, and also lists which pitchers have the most and least consistent release points.

Category: Baseball, Tags: , , , . Comments Off.

Big Papi on Parade: R.J. Anderson of BP tries to pinpoint the reasons for David Ortiz’s offensive renaissance.

Category: Baseball, Tags: , , . Comments Off.

June 8, 2011

Anatomy of a Collapse: At BP, Jay Jaffe analyzes the demise of the Twins.

Category: Baseball, Tags: , , . Comments Off.

The Asian Equation: The Futile Quest for the Next Ichiro: BP’s Michael Street continues his series on Japanese baseball with a look at the difficulty teams have had in finding NPB-to-MLB stars post-Ichiro.

June 7, 2011

The Most Disappointing Prospects of All Time, Part 4: Steven Goldman of BPro continues his ranking of prospect letdowns.

Category: Baseball, Tags: , , , . Comments Off.

In-season PECOTA updates: Colin Wyers of BP introduces in-season PECOTA updates, and compares its regression-to-the-mean component to that of ZiPS.

June 6, 2011

HR/FB, SIERA, and Luck: Not every pitcher with a high HR/FB or BABIP has been unlucky, writes BP’s Derek Carty.

Category: Baseball, Tags: , , , . Comments Off.

June 3, 2011

Can Baseball Expertise Be a Bad Thing?: At BP, Sam Miller profiles Mike Scioscia, his theories about catcher ERA, and whether his thinking is in line with sabermetric studies.

June 2, 2011

Speed, Makeup, and the Power of Words: At BP, Jason Parks concludes his series on scouting.

Category: Baseball, Tags: , , , . Comments Off.

June 1, 2011

The Real Strike Zone, Part 2: BP’s Mike Fast with great research into the strike zone’s upper and lower boundaries for different hitters (and pitchers).

Category: Baseball, Tags: , , , , . Comments Off.

May 31, 2011

The Evolving Prospectus: Steven Goldman explains some of the recent writer turnover at Baseball Prospectus.

Category: Baseball, Tags: . Comments Off.

May 26, 2011

The Classic Second-Guess: At BPro, Jeremy Greenhouse asks whether you should keep a cruising starter in to start the 9th or bring in your closer for the final 3 outs.

Category: Baseball, Tags: , , , . Comments Off.

Answers from a Sabermetrician, Part 2: More of Tangotiger’s responses to reader questions at BPro.

Category: Baseball, Tags: , , , . Comments Off.

How Do You Rate Relief?: Step into the BP Wayback Machine for this 2005 Nate Silver piece on grading relievers.

Category: Baseball, Tags: , , . Comments Off.

May 25, 2011

Aging Hurlers: Baseball Prospectus’ Michael Jong finds similar pitchers to the rapidly-degenerating Javier Vazquez, and wonders what his chances are of reversing the decline.

May 24, 2011

A batted ball puzzler: In a blind taste test, which batted ball dataset do you prefer?

Category: Baseball, Tags: , , . Comments Off.

Answers from a Sabermetrician, Part 1: At BP, Tom Tango answers saber-questions.

Category: Baseball, Tags: , , , , . Comments Off.

May 23, 2011

The Annotated WARP Leaders: BP’s Steven Goldman lists their Top 20 WARP seasons since 1950 and writes about new FRAA.

Category: Baseball, Tags: , , , , . Comments Off.

Baseball Prospectus Announces Free Public Access to Archives: BPro has made its entire archive of premium and fantasy content over one year old completely and permanently free to the public.

Category: Baseball, Tags: , , . Comments Off.

Catcher Interference Leaders: Leaders (among both offenders and beneficiaries) over the past 5 years, from BP’s Mike Fast.

Category: Baseball, Tags: , , . Comments Off.

May 20, 2011

Who’s the Single Best Bet to Reach the Playoffs?:Rob Neyer points out that Baseball Prospectus’ highest playoff odds belong to… the Boston Red Sox?

Category: Baseball, Tags: , , , . Comments Off.

May 19, 2011

Scouting Fielders, Part I. BP’s Jason Parks tells us what to look for in hitters.

Category: Baseball, Tags: , . Comments Off.

Ask a Sabermetrician: Tangotiger: Ask Tango questions at BP.

Category: Baseball, Tags: , , , . Comments Off.

The Over/Under-30 All-Stars: Ben Lindbergh of BP lists players who did most of their damage on only one side of age 30.

Category: Baseball, Tags: , , , . Comments Off.

Bounceback, Breakthrough, or Balderdash?: Ken Funck of BP tries to separate the legit breakouts from the flukes.

Category: Baseball, Tags: , , , . Comments Off.

May 18, 2011

Adjusting For Opponent In The 2011 MLB Season: Jeff Sullivan of Baseball Nation analyzes BP’s strength of opponent metrics for individual batters and pitchers.

Category: Baseball, Tags: , , , . Comments Off.

The Evolution of Dusty Baker: Time to change our perceptions about Dusty? BP’s R.J. Anderson thinks so.

Category: Baseball, Tags: , , , , , . Comments Off.

May 17, 2011

Scouting Hitters, Part II: Jason Parks of BP with more on how to grade a hitter.

Category: Baseball, Tags: , , , . Comments Off.

May 13, 2011

Maris and More: At BP, Craig “Flip Flop Fly Ball” Robinson illustrates the transactions between the 1950s/60s Yankees and the KC A’s.

May 12, 2011

Who’s Zoomin’ Who?: At BP, Ben Lindbergh takes a look at which teams are capitalizing on stolen bases the most in 2011′s reduced run-scoring environment.

Category: Baseball, Tags: , , , . Comments Off.

Scouting hitters: BP’s Jason Parks continues his series on scouting with a look at how hitters are evaluated.

Category: Baseball, Tags: , . Comments Off.