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August 19, 2011

Examining the Deliberate Pace of the Yanks and Red Sox: BtB’s J-Doug built a regression model predicting time of game for any given matchup. Why’s it underestimating times for the Yankees and Red Sox?

August 18, 2011

BJO on 1960s Stoppers and Misappreciating Pedroia ($): At Bill James Online, Bill talks about 1960s “stoppers” (in those days, “stopper” meant the #1 starter, because he’d stop your losing streak), while Dave Fleming writes that Dustin Pedroia isn’t being properly appreciated as one of the best 2nd basemen ever.

Boston’s Core Is Historically Good: BtB’s Satchel Price emphasizes just how outstanding Kevin Youkilis, Dustin Pedroia, Adrian Gonzalez, Jacoby Ellsbury and David Ortiz have been as a group this season.

August 17, 2011

Victorino and Ellsbury Are Having the Same Season: Fangraphs’ Dave Cameron wonders why Jacoby Ellsbury is in MVP talks and Shane Victorino is being ignored, when both are basically producing at the same level.

August 16, 2011

Grounding Youkilis: Why is Kevin Youkilis’ AVG down so much this season? As Baseball Analytics’ David Pinto writes, pitchers are keeping the ball down in the zone against Youk, sapping his BABIP by inducing a higher proportion of ground balls than they did from 2008-2010.

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August 11, 2011

Cano vs. Pedroia: Baseball Analytics’ Jonathan Scippa compares the two star AL East second-baggers.

August 5, 2011

Yankees, Red Sox key defenders: ESPN’s Mark Simon & Katie Sharp run down the BIS fielding numbers on the key defensive matchups of this weekend’s Red Sox-Yankees duel.

July 28, 2011

In case you haven’t noticed, David Ortiz is slumping: Baseball Analytics’ Bill Chuck looks at the pitches Ortiz has struggled the most with over the past 32 games.

July 25, 2011

4 BoSox hitters on pace for 6 Wins Above Replacement: At B-R, John Autin notes that the Red Sox are on pace to join some pretty elite historical WAR company.

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July 15, 2011

Sizing Up Trade Needs in the A.L. East: Writing for the NY Times, B-R’s Sean Forman breaks down the strengths/weaknesses of the Red Sox, Yankees, & Rays, and looks for areas where each could upgrade at the trade deadline.

Pedroia having better season than Cano: You might not know it from the All-Star hype and their triple-crown stats, but as ESPN’s David Schoenfield writes, Dustin Pedroia is smoking Robinson Cano in the WAR department.

July 14, 2011

Debunking the AL MVP Narratives: Adrian Gonzalez has been outstanding, Eric Seidman writes at Fangraphs, but there’s no way to vote him MVP over Jose Bautista without illogically crediting each player for the quality of their teammates.

July 1, 2011

Is Fenway Helping Or Hurting Adrian Gonzalez?: At Fangraphs, Steve Slowinski researched whether the common preseason assumption that Gonzalez would receive a Fenway-related statistical boost has actually panned out.

June 30, 2011

Mike Cameron Has Been One Of The More Underrated Talents Of His Generation: Baseball Nation’s Jeff Sullivan appreciates the underrated career of Mike Cameron, who was DFA-ed by the Red Sox today.

Crawford vs. Reyes: Jose Reyes’ career path through 2011 is tracking with Carl Crawford’s through 2010, writes BP’s Michael Jong, so expect a huge payday if he keeps it going.

June 29, 2011

Right is wrong for the Red Sox: Baseball Analytics’ Bill Chuck has heat maps that underscore why J.D. Drew (and his potential replacements) are killing the Sox’s production in RF.

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Cliff Lee Quiets Red Sox: To get an idea of how impressive Cliff Lee was vs. Boston, check out the fastball and curveball heat maps from his outing, courtesy of David Golebiewski and Baseball Analytics.

June 24, 2011

Doomed in April, Dominant in June: At the NY Times, Neil Paine looks at how the Red Sox have turned their season around, and puts their dominating June in historical context.

June 21, 2011

Lester and Long Balls: Baseball Analytics’ David Pinto uses heat maps to pinpoint why Lester is allowing HR at a greater rate this season.

June 17, 2011

Boston’s Spoiled 7-Year-Olds: At the WSJ Daily Fix, Carl Bialik looks at just how historically remarkable Boston’s decade has been.

DIPS and Josh Beckett: Point and counterpoint on what Josh Beckett’s BABIP says about him going forward, from Fangraphs and Baseball Analytics.

June 16, 2011

How Low Can Josh Beckett Go?: At Roto Hardball, a look at how much of Josh Beckett’s scorching start is actually sustainable.

June 15, 2011

Adrian’s Approach: At Baseball Analytics, David Pinto illustrates how Adrian Gonzalez’s hitting approach changes with runners on.

June 9, 2011

Cutters and Hit By Pitches: Baseball Analytics’ David Pinto finds which pitch types are the hardest to avoid being hit by.

Big Papi on Parade: R.J. Anderson of BP tries to pinpoint the reasons for David Ortiz’s offensive renaissance.

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How frequently the Yankees and Red Sox have hit each other by pitches since 1997: Larry Koestler of The Yankee Analysts analyzes the Sox and Yanks’ beaning tendencies in recent years.

June 7, 2011

Resting Lester: At Baseball Analytics, David Pinto has heat maps showing the difference between Jon Lester’s changeup in April (before the Red Sox gave him a mini-break) and the pitch since.

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June 6, 2011

Here Comes Carl Crawford: At Fangraphs, Jack Moore traces Carl Crawford’s inevitable path back to his previous form.

June 3, 2011

J.D. Drew’s Power Drop: Jonathan Scippa of Baseball Analytics compares heat maps of Drew’s slugging zones in 2010 to those in 2011, and there’s a lot less red.

June 2, 2011

Beckett in May: At Baseball Analytics, David Pinto has some great heat maps for Josh Beckett vs. lefty batters last month.

June 1, 2011

David Ortiz Versus Lefties: At Baseball Analytics, a comparison of 1st-half heat maps between David Ortiz’s 2010 and 2011.

May 20, 2011

Flashback: Jon Lester’s 2008 No-Hitter: Heat maps from Lester’s ’08 no-no, courtesy of Baseball Analytics.

Who’s the Single Best Bet to Reach the Playoffs?:Rob Neyer points out that Baseball Prospectus’ highest playoff odds belong to… the Boston Red Sox?

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May 13, 2011

Inside Pedroia’s early-season struggles: ESPN’s Stats and Info has the inside scoop on what’s wrong with Dustin Pedroia.

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May 12, 2011

Ortiz Pulling Less: Also from Baseball Analytics, David Pinto shows that David Ortiz’s low and inside power is down in 2011.

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May 3, 2011

Pedroia’s Excellent AB: Baseball Analytics’ David Pinto analyzes Dustin Pedroia’s 13-pitch at-bat vs. Jered Weaver on Monday night.

April 27, 2011

Marse Joe’s last hurrah: Steve Treder of THT looks back at Joe McCarthy’s last season as an MLB manager.

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April 26, 2011

Video – Batter heat maps on NESN: TruMedia’s strike-zone heat maps were featured during a recent Red Sox game.

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April 23, 2011

Examining the numbers behind shift strategies

Writing for ESPN Insider, BIS’ Ben Jedlovec provides data on which hitters should legitimately see defensive shifts. Link

April 22, 2011

Bayes, Regression, and the Red Sox

3-D Baseball teaches us about Bayes’ Theorem via the 2011 Boston Red Sox. Link

April 21, 2011

Gonzalez’s Monster potential … and why we’ve yet to see it

ESPN Boston’s Jeremy Lundblad analyzes Adrian Gonzalez’s early Red Sox results with batted ball and PITCHf/x data. Link

Shutdowns & Meltdowns mentioned by Bard

Talking to Peter Abraham of the Boston Globe, Daniel Bard said he looks at Fangraphs’ shutdowns & meltdowns stat. Link

April 20, 2011

Document hints Cubs threw 1918 Series to BoSox

According to ESPN, a recently-discovered court deposition suggests the Cubs may have intentionally lost the 1918 World Series. Link

April 15, 2011

How Gonzalez fits at Fenway

Jeremy Lundblad of Stats & Info busts out the heat maps on Adrian Gonzalez to show how he fits in Boston. Link

April 14, 2011

TruMedia Heat Maps During Red Sox Game

NESN used player strike-zone heat maps during a broadcast. Link

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April 13, 2011

Odds of a good team having a bad year

At The Book Blog, Tangotiger asks how many games of sub-.500 play it takes for us to change our initial assessment of a team’s true talent. Link

April 12, 2011

Fifteen Years of “Tainted” Titles?

After Manny Ramirez’s steroid-tinged retirement, people have asked if the Red Sox’s titles are tainted. The Platoon Advantage reminds us that no post-strike champ is immune from those accusations. Link

April 11, 2011

Putting Pedro in Context

Jack Moore of Fangraphs offers some perspective on Pedro Martinez’s pitching “minus” stats. Link

Beckett’s Location

After Josh Beckett’s dominating performance Sunday night, Baseball Musings’ David Pinto takes a look at the pitch data from his decidedly-inferior first start of 2011. Link

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April 8, 2011

Early BABIP trends

At BtB, Bill Petti looks at which teams BABIP luck has been favoring (and hurting) so far. Link

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No Comeback Impossible

At Baseball Prospectus, Steven Goldman puts early-season struggles in perspective. Link

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April 7, 2011

Should Sox panic yet?

Dave Cameron of FanGraphs weighs in on the 0-6 situation in Boston. One the one hand, a 6-game sample shouldn’t change evaluations of their talent level. On the other hand, they’ve dug a hole already, erasing any advantage they had over the Yankees on talent before the season. Link