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Provisional 2015 Approximate Value Release

Posted by Mike Lynch on January 8, 2016

With the AP releasing it's All-Pro teams today, we have an important piece of information for constructing our 2015 Approximate Values for NFL players. These numbers will change as Pro Bowl rosters change, but these values give a strong estimate of what the final 2015 AV numbers will look like (since All Pro nods have a far greater impact on AV than Pro Bowl nods do). At this time, the provisional leader in 2015 AV is J.J. Watt, with 21. For the time being, Watt's 88 AV through 5 seasons are the most in NFL history (we calculate AV back to 1960). The previous record had been 84 by Thurman Thomas. Something to ponder is that Watt was drafted between Blaine Gabbert and Christian Ponder in 2011.

As a reminder, Approximate Value is our method (developed by Doug Drinen) for putting a single numerical value on any player's season. You can read all about it here. You can see the all-time leaders in career AV here and the single-season leaders here.

The rest of the top 5 in 2015 Approximate Value can be seen below:

Screen Shot 2016-01-08 at 3.46.11 PM

 

2 Comments | Posted in Advanced Stats, Announcement, Data, Pro-Football-Reference.com

Wild Card Weekend

Posted by Jonah Gardner on January 8, 2016

At Pro Football Reference, we tend to deal in the factual, objective historical record.  Our website contains tables of things that really, actually happened already. This blog post will not involve that. Instead, today we're going to take a look at the hypothetical. Here's what could happen this weekend, in the four Wild Card games, and why:

Comments Off on Wild Card Weekend | Posted in Announcement, Pro-Football-Reference.com

Catch Percentage Added to Receiving Stats Table

Posted by Mike Lynch on January 7, 2016

We made a small enhancement to our NFL Receiving stats table by adding "catch percentage" as its own column. You can sort the data by that column to see which players caught the highest percentage of their targets. If you leave the "hide non-qualifiers for rate stats" box checked, it will only sort players with 30+ targets. Please bear in mind that targets are an unofficial category. Our numbers for targets are based on play-by-play descriptions from official accounts, but may slightly differ from numbers seen elsewhere. Our unofficial target data goes back to 1992, so you can run searches across multiple years for catch percentage via the Player Season Finder in the Play Index. For instance, Larry Fitzgerald's 2015 was the highest catch percentage on record by a 100-catch WR not named Wes Welker.

The best catch percentage by any qualified player since 1992 (regardless of position) was Cleveland Gary's 52 receptions on 55 targets in 1992.

Comments Off on Catch Percentage Added to Receiving Stats Table | Posted in Announcement, Data, Play Index, Pro-Football-Reference.com

Safeties Added to Team Game Finder

Posted by Mike Lynch on January 6, 2016

We just wanted to quickly note that we have added the ability to search for safeties to the Team Game Finder tool in the Play Index.

So now you can search for things like:

If you checked out the above links, perhaps you noticed this oddity: no team in our data has had more than 4 safeties in a single season, yet the 1984 Rams had 3 safeties in a single quarter!

Comments Off on Safeties Added to Team Game Finder | Posted in Announcement, Data, History, Play Index, Pro-Football-Reference.com

Advanced Stats Available for the NBA D-League

Posted by Jonah Gardner on January 5, 2016

You may already know that we track box score stats for the NBA D-League, meaning that you can keep an eye on the progress of prospects, potential future NBA players, and post-hype sleepers who play in the NBA's minor league. However, in addition to basic stats like points and rebounds, we've also started tracking advanced stats for all D-Leaguers. That includes numbers like PER, BPM, WS, and USG%, among others. So, for example, you can see that right now, Erick Green leads all D-Leaguers in WS:

Comments Off on Advanced Stats Available for the NBA D-League | Posted in Announcement, Basketball-Reference.com

Week 16 NFL Playoff Scenarios

Posted by Mike Lynch on December 23, 2015

PER NFL COMMUNICATIONS:

2015 NFL PLAYOFF SCENARIOS FOR WEEK 16

AFC

CLINCHED: New England – AFC East and a first-round bye

Cincinnati – playoff berth

Comments Off on Week 16 NFL Playoff Scenarios | Posted in Announcement, Data, Playoffs, Pro-Football-Reference.com

School Stats Added for 1995-96 College Basketball Season

Posted by Mike Lynch on December 18, 2015

As we work our way back on digitizing older college basketball statistics, we're happy to announce that we now have digitized team and opponent stats for the 1995-96 College Basketball season. This is in addition to the player stats we added a few weeks back.

These sortable tables allow users to easily see that the dominant 1995-96 Kentucky Wildcats led the nation in steals and assists. And that (no shocker here), UNC opponents never took any free throws. Also, let's not forgot about the impact of Keith "The Boss" Closs at CCSU.

 

Comments Off on School Stats Added for 1995-96 College Basketball Season | Posted in Announcement, CBB at Sports Reference, Data, History

Search By Day Added to Basketball Reference Play Index

Posted by Mike Lynch on December 17, 2015

We just wanted to quickly note that we've added the ability to search by day to the Basketball Reference Player Game Finder in the Play Index.

With this addition, you can now run searches such as:

Now that you know that the Mailman always delivered on April Fool's Day, you can go about the rest of your day.

We hope you enjoy this new addition.

Comments Off on Search By Day Added to Basketball Reference Play Index | Posted in Announcement, Basketball-Reference.com, Data, Features, History, Play Index

Full Box Scores Added for 1983 & 1984 NBA Playoffs

Posted by Mike Lynch on December 10, 2015

Thanks to the research of Sean Burrill, we're happy to announce that we now have complete box scores for the 1984 NBA Playoffs, and mostly complete box scores for the 1983 NBA Playoffs. Previously, these box scores were mostly restricted to player scoring and shooting statistics.

Additionally, 1984 Playoff games are now searchable in the Play Index. For instance, here's a list of triple-doubles in the 1984 Playoffs and most 3-pointers made by a team in 1984 Playoff games.

1983 Playoff box scores are also updated, but not searchable in the Play Index because we're missing some statistics from these games (please contact us if you are able to fill in any of these gaps):

Game 2, Boston at Atlanta: three-point attempts, offensive rebounding, turnovers, steals

Game 2, Milwaukee at Boston: offensive rebounding

Game 2, Portland at Los Angeles: offensive rebounding

Game 3, Los Angeles at Portland: offensive rebounding

Game 3, San Antonio at Denver: offensive rebounding

Game 3, Los Angeles at San Antonio: offensive rebounding

Game 5, San Antonio at Los Angeles: offensive rebounding, turnovers

Game 6, Los Angeles at San Antonio: offensive rebounding, turnovers

1 Comment | Posted in Announcement, Basketball-Reference.com, Data, History, Play Index, Playoffs

2015-16 NBA Playoff and MVP Probabilities

Posted by Jonah Gardner on November 18, 2015

The NBA season is in full swing so our playoff and MVP probabilities pages are live. The playoff probabilities project the odds a team has of making the playoffs; while the MVP projections show the likelihood a given player has of winning MVP if voting happened today. On the playoff side, it looks like the Rockets and Pelicans are in trouble, while the Suns and Celtics are early season surprises. Sixers and Lakers fans can also track their odds of winning the lottery. Here's more info on how the projections are made and where we get the projected draft order from.

Oh, and as far as MVP goes, Stephen Curry is really really good

Rk Player Tm W L W/L% MP eFG% ORB DRB TRB AST STL BLK TOV PTS Prob%
1 Stephen Curry GSW 12 0 1.000 35.5 .641 0.5 4.3 4.8 5.9 2.4 0.3 3.4 33.7 96.1%
2 Russell Westbrook OKC 6 5 .545 34.9 .509 2.2 5.5 7.7 10.6 2.3 0.3 5.2 26.7 0.9%
3 Draymond Green GSW 12 0 1.000 34.0 .521 1.5 6.5 8.0 6.9 1.3 1.4 2.5 12.0 0.8%
4 LeBron James CLE 8 3 .727 36.6 .539 1.1 5.6 6.7 6.1 1.8 0.6 3.4 27.3 0.7%
5 Blake Griffin LAC 6 4 .600 34.1 .558 2.3 6.7 9.0 4.3 0.8 0.5 1.7 26.6 0.5%
6 Kawhi Leonard SAS 8 2 .800 33.1 .569 1.0 6.7 7.7 1.6 1.9 1.3 1.4 21.6 0.4%
7 Kevin Durant OKC 6 5 .545 34.8 .572 0.3 7.0 7.3 3.0 0.8 1.3 2.3 28.1 0.3%
8 Andre Drummond DET 6 5 .545 37.4 .530 6.4 12.5 18.9 1.0 1.8 1.4 2.6 19.1 0.1%
9 Eric Bledsoe PHO 6 4 .600 33.4 .545 0.5 3.6 4.1 5.9 2.1 0.5 3.6 23.0 0.1%
10 Kyle Lowry TOR 7 5 .583 35.0 .503 0.8 4.0 4.8 6.3 2.6 0.7 3.2 20.3 0.1%
Provided by Basketball-Reference.com: View Original Table
Generated 11/18/2015.

1 Comment | Posted in Announcement, Basketball-Reference.com

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